AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 2 Oct 03, 2025

Le Mans

Home
VS
18:00

Estac Troyes

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Le Mans Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Estac Troyes Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.20 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Le Mans Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Estac Troyes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (18%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Le Mans Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 26 Le Mans vs Clermont … 1-1
Sep 23 Le Mans vs Grenoble 1-0
Sep 19 Le Mans vs Dunkerque 2-2
Sep 12 Le Mans vs Rodez 0-1
Aug 30 Le Mans vs Reims 1-0
Aug 22 Le Mans vs Bastia 1-0
Aug 18 Le Mans vs Montpelli… 1-2
Aug 09 Le Mans vs Guingamp 3-3
Nov 27 Le Mans vs Laval 1-1
Estac Troyes Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 26 Estac Tro… vs Annecy 3-1
Sep 23 Estac Tro… vs RED Star … 1-3
Sep 20 Estac Tro… vs Guingamp 5-2
Sep 12 Estac Tro… vs Nancy 3-0
Aug 29 Estac Tro… vs Dunkerque 2-0
Aug 23 Estac Tro… vs Montpelli… 1-0
Aug 15 Estac Tro… vs Clermont … 0-0
Aug 09 Estac Tro… vs Grenoble 2-1
May 10 Estac Tro… vs Amiens 1-0
May 02 Estac Tro… vs Grenoble 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Estac Troyes in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Estac Troyes to win (57% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-2 57% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Le Mans Power 0
Estac Troyes Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Le Mans Position

-2

Position Gap

1

Estac Troyes Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.