Ligue 2 · Sep 23, 2025 18:30

Guingamp
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

Dunkerque
PWR 41
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense53
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.6
Attack50
Defense67
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.1
Guingamp Form LWWLL
STABLE
Dunkerque Form DLWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.570%
BTTS70%
Under 2.530%
Guingamp Goals
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Dunkerque Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.70
Guingamp
vs
1.25
Dunkerque
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Guingamp
-3
Gap
#5
Dunkerque
WR 46% 33 pts WR 40% 34 pts
Guingamp 8.0%
Sep 20 Guingamp v Estac T… 5-2
Sep 15 Guingamp v Montpel… 1-0
Aug 30 Guingamp v Bastia 1-3
Aug 23 Guingamp v RED Sta… 0-4
Aug 16 Guingamp v Reims 1-0
Aug 09 Guingamp v Le Mans 3-3
May 14 Guingamp v Dunkerq… 1-0
May 10 Guingamp v Pau FC 1-3
May 07 Guingamp v Saint-É… 3-2
May 02 Guingamp v Bastia 2-2
Dunkerque 8.0%
Sep 19 Dunkerq… v Le Mans 2-2
Sep 13 Dunkerq… v Grenoble 1-0
Aug 29 Dunkerq… v Estac T… 2-0
Aug 22 Dunkerq… v Nancy 1-3
Aug 16 Dunkerq… v Annecy 2-2
Aug 09 Dunkerq… v Clermon… 2-2
Jul 19 Dunkerq… v Lens 5-1
May 17 Dunkerq… v Metz 1-0
May 14 Dunkerq… v Guingamp 1-0
May 10 Dunkerq… v Red Star 1-1
Head-to-Head (10)
May 14, 2025 Dunkerque 1-0 Guingamp
Apr 07, 2025 Dunkerque 3-1 Guingamp
Jan 04, 2025 Guingamp 1-1 Dunkerque
Apr 13, 2024 Dunkerque 0-1 Guingamp
Apr 13, 2024 Dunkerque 0-1 Guingamp
Aug 12, 2023 Guingamp 0-1 Dunkerque
May 07, 2022 Dunkerque 1-3 Guingamp
Dec 21, 2021 Guingamp 2-1 Dunkerque
Feb 05, 2021 Guingamp 0-0 Dunkerque
Oct 03, 2020 Dunkerque 1-0 Guingamp
Key Factors
Guingamp struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.