AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 2 Sep 12, 2025

Estac Troyes

Home
VS
18:00

Nancy

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Estac Troyes Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Nancy Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 91%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.67 - 0.53
Key Insights
Position gap: 14 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Estac Troyes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Nancy Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (30%) 1-0 (20%) 0-1 (16%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 0-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Under 2.5 Goals 88%
Estac Troyes Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 29 Estac Tro… vs Dunkerque 2-0
Aug 23 Estac Tro… vs Montpelli… 1-0
Aug 15 Estac Tro… vs Clermont … 0-0
Aug 09 Estac Tro… vs Grenoble 2-1
May 10 Estac Tro… vs Amiens 1-0
May 02 Estac Tro… vs Grenoble 3-1
Apr 25 Estac Tro… vs Dunkerque 1-0
Apr 18 Estac Tro… vs Clermont 0-2
Apr 11 Estac Tro… vs Ajaccio 0-0
Mar 14 Estac Tro… vs Guingamp 0-1
Nancy Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 29 Nancy vs Pau FC 2-2
Aug 22 Nancy vs Dunkerque 1-3
Aug 15 Nancy vs Ajaccio 1-0
Aug 09 Nancy vs Rodez 0-0
Dec 18 Nancy vs Estac Tro… 1-1
Mar 13 Nancy vs Estac Tro… 1-5
Dec 15 Nancy vs Estac Tro… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Estac Troyes in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 18, 2021 Estac Troyes 1 - 1 Nancy Coupe de France
Mar 13, 2021 Estac Troyes 1 - 5 Nancy Ligue 2
Dec 15, 2020 Nancy 2 - 3 Estac Troyes Ligue 2
Final Verdict

ELITE: Estac Troyes to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 42 vs 0
Estac Troyes Power 42
Nancy Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Estac Troyes Position

+14

Position Gap

15

Nancy Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.