Serie B · Sep 17, 2025 00:35
Chapecoense
PWR 51
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 49
Chapecoense
PWR 51
2 - 3
FT
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 49
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Chapecoense to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
3-0 (5%)
2-2 (4%)
2-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 1% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 1%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack42
Defense69
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.9
Attack43
Defense61
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.1
Chapecoense Form
WLDWW
STABLE
Athletico Para… Form
WLDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.572%
BTTS76%
Under 2.528%
Chapecoense Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Athletico P… Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.65
Chapecoensevs
1.51
Athletico Para…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Chapecoense-2
Gap#1
Athletico P…
WR 41% 86 pts
WR 41% 118 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | 56 | 23 | 17 | 16 | 67 | 50 | 86 |
| Athletico Paran… | 79 | 32 | 22 | 25 | 97 | 88 | 118 |
Chapecoense
14.0%
| Sep 10 | Chapeco… v Concórd… | 0-1 |
| Sep 07 | Chapeco… v Criciúma | 2-0 |
| Sep 01 | Chapeco… v Vila No… | 2-2 |
| Aug 22 | Chapeco… v Athleti… | 0-4 |
| Aug 17 | Chapeco… v Paysand… | 2-0 |
| Aug 09 | Chapeco… v Corinth… | 0-0 |
| Aug 03 | Chapeco… v CRB | 3-2 |
| Jul 27 | Chapeco… v Athleti… | 0-0 |
| Jul 23 | Chapeco… v Volta R… | 4-2 |
| Jul 20 | Chapeco… v América… | 0-1 |
Athletico Para…
14.0%
| Sep 16 | Athleti… v Avaí | 2-1 |
| Sep 11 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 2-0 |
| Sep 08 | Athleti… v Novoriz… | 1-1 |
| Sep 06 | Athleti… v Botafogo | 1-3 |
| Aug 31 | Athleti… v Amazonas | 2-0 |
| Aug 30 | Athleti… v Novoriz… | 2-1 |
| Aug 28 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Aug 24 | Athleti… v Cuiabá | 2-2 |
| Aug 23 | Athleti… v CRB | 0-1 |
| Aug 17 | Athleti… v Ferrovi… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jul 27, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 0-0 | Chapecoense |
| May 09, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 1-1 | Chapecoense |
Key Factors
Chapecoense in strong form (3W in last 5)
Athletico Paranaense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.