Serie B · May 09, 2025 00:35
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 49
Chapecoense
PWR 51
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 49
1 - 1
FT
Chapecoense
PWR 51
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Athletico Paranaense to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
0-0 (18%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (12%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 1% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 1%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense61
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.1
Attack42
Defense69
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.9
Athletico Para… Form
LWDDL
STABLE
Chapecoense Form
WLWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.524%
BTTS32%
Under 2.576%
Athletico P… Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Chapecoense Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Athletico Para…vs
0.67
ChapecoenseDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum64%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Athletico P…+2
Gap#3
Chapecoense
WR 41% 118 pts
WR 41% 86 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico Paran… | 79 | 32 | 22 | 25 | 97 | 88 | 118 |
| Chapecoense | 56 | 23 | 17 | 16 | 67 | 50 | 86 |
Athletico Para…
8.0%
| May 04 | Athleti… v Botafogo | 1-4 |
| May 04 | Athleti… v Novoriz… | 1-0 |
| May 01 | Athleti… v Brusque | 0-0 |
| Apr 27 | Athleti… v Amazonas | 1-1 |
| Apr 25 | Athleti… v Novoriz… | 2-1 |
| Apr 22 | Athleti… v Cuiabá | 1-1 |
| Apr 20 | Athleti… v CRB | 2-0 |
| Apr 18 | Athleti… v Ferrovi… | 2-0 |
| Apr 15 | Athleti… v Cuiabá | 2-1 |
| Apr 13 | Athleti… v Botafogo | 1-1 |
Chapecoense
12.0%
| May 04 | Chapeco… v Criciúma | 2-1 |
| Apr 26 | Chapeco… v Vila No… | 1-0 |
| Apr 20 | Chapeco… v Athleti… | 1-0 |
| Apr 16 | Chapeco… v Paysand… | 0-2 |
| Apr 12 | Chapeco… v Corinth… | 1-2 |
| Apr 05 | Chapeco… v CRB | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Chapeco… v Avaí | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Chapeco… v Avaí | 2-2 |
| Mar 09 | Chapeco… v Joinvil… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Chapeco… v Joinvil… | 1-1 |
Key Factors
Chapecoense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.