AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B May 04, 2025

Chapecoense

Home
VS
21:30

Criciúma

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Chapecoense Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Criciúma Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.29 - 1.15
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chapecoense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Criciúma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Chapecoense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Chapecoen… vs Vila Nova 1-0
Apr 20 Chapecoen… vs Athletic … 1-0
Apr 16 Chapecoen… vs Paysandu … 0-2
Apr 12 Chapecoen… vs Corinthia… 1-2
Apr 05 Chapecoen… vs CRB 1-0
Mar 22 Chapecoen… vs Avaí 1-1
Mar 15 Chapecoen… vs Avaí 2-2
Mar 09 Chapecoen… vs Joinville 2-1
Feb 22 Chapecoen… vs Joinville 1-1
Feb 01 Chapecoen… vs Criciúma 0-0
Criciúma Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 01 Criciúma vs RB Bragan… 1-0
Apr 25 Criciúma vs Remo 1-1
Apr 21 Criciúma vs Novorizon… 1-1
Apr 17 Criciúma vs Athletic … 4-0
Apr 10 Criciúma vs Athletico… 2-1
Apr 05 Criciúma vs Operário-… 1-2
Mar 11 Criciúma vs Remo 1-2
Mar 02 Criciúma vs Joinville 0-0
Feb 22 Criciúma vs Avaí 0-3
Feb 08 Criciúma vs Brusque 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chapecoense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2025 Chapecoense 0 - 0 Criciúma Catarinense - 1
Mar 02, 2024 Criciúma 2 - 0 Chapecoense Catarinense - 1
Oct 14, 2023 Criciúma 1 - 2 Chapecoense Serie B
Jun 24, 2023 Chapecoense 1 - 1 Criciúma Serie B
Jan 22, 2023 Chapecoense 1 - 1 Criciúma Catarinense - 1
Sep 25, 2022 Criciúma 2 - 0 Chapecoense Serie B
Jun 11, 2022 Chapecoense 2 - 3 Criciúma Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Chapecoense to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chapecoense Power 0
Criciúma Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.