AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Pro Mar 02, 2025

Independiente del Valle

Home
VS
18:00

Universidad O&M

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Independiente del Valle Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Universidad O&M Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 2.02 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.8
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Independiente del Valle Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Universidad O&M Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Independiente del Valle Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 Independi… vs LDU Quito 1-1
Feb 15 Independi… vs Libertad … 2-0
Dec 14 Independi… vs LDU Quito 1-0
Dec 07 Independi… vs LDU Quito 3-0
Dec 01 Independi… vs Orense SC 0-0
Nov 27 Independi… vs El Nacion… 0-1
Nov 24 Independi… vs Macará 7-0
Nov 09 Independi… vs LDU Quito 2-1
Nov 03 Independi… vs El Nacion… 2-0
Oct 29 Independi… vs Universid… 1-2
Universidad O&M Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 27 Universid… vs Atlántico 1-2
Feb 23 Universid… vs Barcelona… 3-1
Feb 23 Universid… vs El Nacion… 1-1
Feb 16 Universid… vs Emelec 0-4
Nov 30 Universid… vs Macará 1-2
Nov 24 Universid… vs LDU Quito 2-4
Nov 09 Universid… vs Aucas 3-2
Nov 04 Universid… vs Tecnico U… 2-0
Oct 29 Universid… vs Independi… 1-2
Oct 26 Universid… vs Emelec 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Universidad O&M in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 29, 2024 Independiente del V… 1 - 2 Universidad O&M Copa Ecuador
Oct 22, 2024 Universidad O&M 0 - 1 Independiente del V… Copa Ecuador
Sep 28, 2024 Independiente del V… 5 - 2 Universidad O&M Liga Pro
Apr 14, 2024 Universidad O&M 2 - 2 Independiente del V… Liga Pro
Aug 26, 2023 Independiente del V… 0 - 1 Universidad O&M Liga Pro
Mar 31, 2023 Universidad O&M 2 - 3 Independiente del V… Liga Pro
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Independiente del Valle to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Independiente del Valle Power 0
Universidad O&M Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.