Primera A · Sep 08, 2025 00:00
Independiente Medellin
PWR 35
Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
Independiente Medellin
PWR 35
3 - 3
FT
Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (9%)
0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Independiente … Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Atlético Nacio… Form
DWWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.542%
BTTS43%
Under 2.558%
Independien… Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Independiente …vs
0.78
Atlético Nacio…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Independien…-6
Gap#11
Atlético Na…
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Independiente …
18.0%
| Sep 04 | Indepen… v Fortale… | 2-1 |
| Aug 31 | Indepen… v Deporti… | 1-3 |
| Aug 27 | Indepen… v Fortale… | 0-0 |
| Aug 23 | Indepen… v La Equi… | 3-1 |
| Aug 19 | Indepen… v Deporti… | 1-2 |
| Aug 11 | Indepen… v Llaneros | 0-1 |
| Aug 07 | Indepen… v Jaguares | 0-1 |
| Aug 03 | Indepen… v Millona… | 1-0 |
| Jul 31 | Indepen… v Jaguares | 1-1 |
| Jul 27 | Indepen… v Union M… | 0-2 |
Atlético Nacio…
14.0%
| Sep 04 | Atlétic… v Quindio | 2-2 |
| Aug 31 | Atlétic… v Envigado | 1-0 |
| Aug 28 | Atlétic… v Quindio | 4-0 |
| Aug 24 | Atlétic… v America… | 1-1 |
| Aug 17 | Atlétic… v Fortale… | 2-2 |
| Aug 08 | Atlétic… v Alianza… | 3-0 |
| Aug 05 | Atlétic… v Cúcuta … | 0-3 |
| Aug 02 | Atlétic… v Deporte… | 0-0 |
| Jul 29 | Atlétic… v Cúcuta … | 1-0 |
| Jul 26 | Atlétic… v Santa Fe | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 04, 2025 | Independiente… | 1-1 | Atlético Naci… |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 1-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Independiente… | 1-0 | Atlético Naci… |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 1-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 2-0 | Independiente… |
| Jul 03, 2024 | Independiente… | 1-2 | Atlético Naci… |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 2-2 | Independiente… |
| Apr 22, 2024 | Independiente… | 2-2 | Atlético Naci… |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Atlético Naci… | 0-5 | Independiente… |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Independiente… | 2-1 | Atlético Naci… |
Key Factors
Independiente Medellin in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.