Primera A · Aug 30, 2025 23:20

Deportivo Pasto
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT

Bucaramanga
PWR 35
31% H 28% D 41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Deportivo Pasto to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-2 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Deportivo Pasto Form LWDDL
STABLE
Bucaramanga Form WWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.578%
BTTS82%
Under 2.522%
Deportivo P… Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Bucaramanga Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.83
Deportivo Pasto
vs
2.03
Bucaramanga
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum77%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Deportivo P…
+1
Gap
#3
Bucaramanga
WR 67% 10 pts WR 0% 9 pts
Deportivo Pasto 8.0%
Aug 29 Deporti… v Once Ca… 1-2
Aug 27 Deporti… v Real So… 4-3
Aug 25 Deporti… v Chico 0-0
Aug 23 Deporti… v Envigado 1-1
Aug 23 Deporti… v Llaneros 2-1
Aug 19 Deporti… v Indepen… 1-2
Aug 15 Deporti… v Envigado 0-1
Aug 14 Deporti… v America… 2-1
Aug 14 Deporti… v Union M… 3-1
Aug 10 Deporti… v Fortale… 0-0
Bucaramanga 16.0%
Aug 27 Bucaram… v America… 1-0
Aug 25 Bucaram… v Rionegr… 4-0
Aug 18 Bucaram… v Junior 2-1
Aug 10 Bucaram… v Santa Fe 2-1
Aug 03 Bucaram… v Alianza… 1-3
Jul 28 Bucaram… v Deporti… 2-3
Jul 13 Bucaram… v Chico 1-1
Jun 14 Bucaram… v Popayan 0-1
Jun 10 Bucaram… v Chico 3-2
Jun 07 Bucaram… v Quindio 2-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Jul 28, 2025 Bucaramanga 2-3 Deportivo Pas…
Jun 02, 2025 Bucaramanga 3-1 Deportivo Pas…
May 25, 2025 Bucaramanga 2-1 Deportivo Pas…
Oct 24, 2024 Bucaramanga 0-0 Deportivo Pas…
Oct 18, 2024 Deportivo Pas… 1-2 Bucaramanga
Aug 24, 2024 Deportivo Pas… 1-2 Bucaramanga
Feb 20, 2024 Bucaramanga 1-0 Deportivo Pas…
Sep 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 0-2 Deportivo Pas…
Apr 13, 2023 Deportivo Pas… 1-0 Bucaramanga
Aug 07, 2022 Deportivo Pas… 1-0 Bucaramanga
Key Factors
Bucaramanga in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.