AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Aug 15, 2025

Alianza Petrolera

Home
VS
21:00

Once Caldas

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Alianza Petrolera Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Once Caldas Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.66 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.9
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alianza Petrolera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Once Caldas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 3-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Alianza Petrolera Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 08 Alianza P… vs Atlético … 3-0
Aug 03 Alianza P… vs Bucaraman… 1-3
Jul 28 Alianza P… vs Fortaleza… 2-2
Jul 22 Alianza P… vs Deportes … 0-1
Jul 19 Alianza P… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Jul 13 Alianza P… vs Independi… 1-1
Jun 15 Alianza P… vs Barranqui… 0-1
Jun 11 Alianza P… vs Envigado 3-3
Jun 08 Alianza P… vs Orsomarso 2-2
Jun 04 Alianza P… vs Rionegro … 4-0
Once Caldas Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Once Cald… vs Rionegro … 1-1
Aug 03 Once Cald… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Jul 31 Once Cald… vs Patriotas… 6-0
Jul 26 Once Cald… vs Junior 2-2
Jul 20 Once Cald… vs Fortaleza… 2-1
Jul 12 Once Cald… vs Atlético … 1-3
Jun 19 Once Cald… vs Atlético … 1-2
Jun 16 Once Cald… vs Santa Fe 1-0
Jun 12 Once Cald… vs Millonari… 2-2
Jun 09 Once Cald… vs Millonari… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Alianza Petrolera struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alianza Petrolera Power 0
Once Caldas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Alianza Petrolera Position

-10

Position Gap

10

Once Caldas Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.