Primera A · May 04, 2025 21:10
Independiente Medellin
PWR 35
Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
Independiente Medellin
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (30%)
1-0 (30%)
2-0 (15%)
0-1 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
3-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Independiente … Form
DWWLD
STABLE
Atlético Nacio… Form
WLWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.512%
BTTS11%
Under 2.588%
Independien… Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Independiente …vs
0.20
Atlético Nacio…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum72%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Independien…-10
Gap#7
Atlético Na…
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Independiente …
12.0%
| Apr 27 | Indepen… v Fortale… | 0-0 |
| Apr 20 | Indepen… v Once Ca… | 2-0 |
| Apr 15 | Indepen… v Santa Fe | 1-2 |
| Apr 06 | Indepen… v Junior | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Indepen… v Atlétic… | 1-1 |
| Mar 16 | Indepen… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Mar 09 | Indepen… v La Equi… | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | Indepen… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Feb 16 | Indepen… v Millona… | 0-1 |
| Feb 09 | Indepen… v Envigado | 0-1 |
Atlético Nacio…
12.0%
| Apr 30 | Atlétic… v Deporti… | 3-0 |
| Apr 20 | Atlétic… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Apr 16 | Atlétic… v Chico | 4-1 |
| Apr 13 | Atlétic… v Millona… | 0-0 |
| Mar 22 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Atlétic… v America… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Atlétic… v Santa Fe | 2-2 |
| Dec 22 | Atlétic… v Deporte… | 2-0 |
| Dec 19 | Atlétic… v Deporte… | 1-1 |
| Dec 15 | Atlétic… v America… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Mar 22, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 1-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Independiente… | 1-0 | Atlético Naci… |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 1-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 2-0 | Independiente… |
| Jul 03, 2024 | Independiente… | 1-2 | Atlético Naci… |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 2-2 | Independiente… |
| Apr 22, 2024 | Independiente… | 2-2 | Atlético Naci… |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Atlético Naci… | 0-5 | Independiente… |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Independiente… | 2-1 | Atlético Naci… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.