Primera A · Apr 26, 2025 23:20
Deportes Tolima
PWR 35
La Equidad FC
PWR 35
Deportes Tolima
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
La Equidad FC
PWR 35
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (16%)
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (7%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
0-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Deportes Tolima Form
LDWWW
STABLE
La Equidad FC Form
WLDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS22%
Under 2.541%
Deportes To… Goals
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
La Equidad … Goals
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.75
Deportes Tolimavs
0.26
La Equidad FCDecision Breakdown
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings44%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Deportes To…-3
Gap#1
La Equidad …
WR 100% 8 pts
WR 67% 10 pts
Deportes Tolima
14.0%
| Apr 20 | Deporte… v Envigado | 3-1 |
| Apr 16 | Deporte… v Junior | 0-0 |
| Apr 06 | Deporte… v Bucaram… | 2-1 |
| Mar 24 | Deporte… v Llaneros | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Deporte… v Alianza… | 3-1 |
| Feb 01 | Deporte… v Santa Fe | 0-0 |
| Dec 22 | Deporte… v Atlétic… | 2-0 |
| Dec 19 | Deporte… v Atlétic… | 1-1 |
| Dec 08 | Deporte… v Once Ca… | 1-0 |
| Dec 05 | Deporte… v Junior | 3-2 |
La Equidad FC
8.0%
| Apr 19 | La Equi… v America… | 2-0 |
| Apr 16 | La Equi… v Once Ca… | 3-0 |
| Mar 09 | La Equi… v Indepen… | 0-0 |
| Nov 15 | La Equi… v Deporti… | 4-3 |
| Nov 11 | La Equi… v Deporti… | 2-2 |
| Oct 20 | La Equi… v America… | 2-2 |
| Oct 06 | La Equi… v Indepen… | 0-0 |
| Oct 02 | La Equi… v America… | 0-0 |
| Sep 28 | La Equi… v Bucaram… | 0-1 |
| Sep 26 | La Equi… v America… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Aug 10, 2024 | Deportes Toli… | 5-1 | La Equidad FC |
| May 23, 2024 | Deportes Toli… | 3-0 | La Equidad FC |
| May 18, 2024 | La Equidad FC | 2-3 | Deportes Toli… |
| Feb 10, 2024 | La Equidad FC | 1-1 | Deportes Toli… |
| Aug 27, 2023 | La Equidad FC | 0-0 | Deportes Toli… |
| Mar 14, 2023 | Deportes Toli… | 1-0 | La Equidad FC |
| Aug 22, 2022 | Deportes Toli… | 1-1 | La Equidad FC |
| Jun 09, 2022 | La Equidad FC | 1-0 | Deportes Toli… |
Key Factors
Deportes Tolima in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.