Predictions Match Details
Primera A · Mar 22, 2025 22:45

Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Independiente Medellin
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Atlético Nacional to win (80% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
80%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Atlético Nacio… Form WDWDD
STABLE
Independiente … Form DDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.521%
BTTS16%
Under 2.579%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Independien… Goals
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Atlético Nacio…
vs
0.24
Independiente …
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Atlético Na…
+6
Gap
#17
Independien…
WR 100% 6 pts WR 0% 2 pts
Atlético Nacio… 14.0%
Mar 10 Atlétic… v America… 1-0
Feb 13 Atlétic… v Santa Fe 2-2
Dec 22 Atlétic… v Deporte… 2-0
Dec 19 Atlétic… v Deporte… 1-1
Dec 15 Atlétic… v America… 0-0
Dec 13 Atlétic… v America… 3-1
Dec 09 Atlétic… v Santa Fe 0-3
Dec 05 Atlétic… v Deporti… 2-1
Dec 03 Atlétic… v Millona… 1-1
Nov 30 Atlétic… v Millona… 2-1
Independiente … 16.0%
Mar 16 Indepen… v Deporti… 0-0
Mar 09 Indepen… v La Equi… 0-0
Mar 04 Indepen… v Deporti… 1-0
Feb 16 Indepen… v Millona… 0-1
Feb 09 Indepen… v Envigado 0-1
Nov 18 Indepen… v Atlétic… 1-0
Nov 15 Indepen… v Envigado 1-0
Nov 11 Indepen… v Atlétic… 1-1
Nov 01 Indepen… v Atlétic… 2-0
Oct 26 Indepen… v Chico 3-0
Head-to-Head (8)
Nov 18, 2024 Independiente… 1-0 Atlético Naci…
Nov 11, 2024 Atlético Naci… 1-1 Independiente…
Nov 01, 2024 Atlético Naci… 2-0 Independiente…
Jul 03, 2024 Independiente… 1-2 Atlético Naci…
Jun 19, 2024 Atlético Naci… 2-2 Independiente…
Apr 22, 2024 Independiente… 2-2 Atlético Naci…
Dec 03, 2023 Atlético Naci… 0-5 Independiente…
Nov 19, 2023 Independiente… 2-1 Atlético Naci…
Key Factors
Independiente Medellin in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.