Primera A · Mar 02, 2025 20:00
Once Caldas
PWR 35
Alianza Petrolera
PWR 35
Once Caldas
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Alianza Petrolera
PWR 35
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Once Caldas to win (82% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
82%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (21%)
3-0 (18%)
1-0 (16%)
0-0 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Once Caldas Form
LWWDD
STABLE
Alianza Petrol… Form
DLLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS17%
Under 2.552%
Once Caldas Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Alianza Pet… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Once Caldasvs
0.20
Alianza Petrol…Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings64%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Once Caldas+9
Gap#20
Alianza Pet…
WR 0% 6 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Once Caldas
12.0%
| Dec 08 | Once Ca… v Deporte… | 1-0 |
| Dec 04 | Once Ca… v America… | 3-0 |
| Dec 01 | Once Ca… v Junior | 1-2 |
| Nov 28 | Once Ca… v Junior | 2-2 |
| Nov 24 | Once Ca… v America… | 1-1 |
| Nov 21 | Once Ca… v Deporte… | 0-0 |
| Nov 15 | Once Ca… v America… | 3-0 |
| Nov 12 | Once Ca… v Junior | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Once Ca… v Santa Fe | 2-1 |
| Oct 14 | Once Ca… v Deporti… | 2-1 |
Alianza Petrol…
4.0%
| Feb 18 | Alianza… v Bucaram… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Alianza… v Deporte… | 3-1 |
| Nov 15 | Alianza… v Bucaram… | 0-4 |
| Nov 10 | Alianza… v Jaguares | 0-0 |
| Oct 20 | Alianza… v Deporte… | 2-0 |
| Oct 06 | Alianza… v Once Ca… | 1-0 |
| Sep 26 | Alianza… v Santa Fe | 2-0 |
| Sep 20 | Alianza… v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Sep 16 | Alianza… v Atlétic… | 1-1 |
| Sep 08 | Alianza… v Fortale… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Oct 06, 2024 | Alianza Petro… | 1-0 | Once Caldas |
| Mar 25, 2024 | Once Caldas | 1-0 | Alianza Petro… |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Alianza Petro… | 2-1 | Once Caldas |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Once Caldas | 1-2 | Alianza Petro… |
| Oct 24, 2022 | Once Caldas | 1-1 | Alianza Petro… |
| May 09, 2022 | Alianza Petro… | 2-0 | Once Caldas |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Once Caldas | 1-1 | Alianza Petro… |
| Feb 12, 2021 | Alianza Petro… | 0-0 | Once Caldas |
Key Factors
Alianza Petrolera struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.