Major League Soccer · Oct 05, 2025 00:30
Austin
PWR 44
St. Louis City SC
PWR 44
Austin
PWR 44
1 - 3
FT
St. Louis City SC
PWR 44
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Austin to win (75% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
75%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-0 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense42
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.6
Attack64
Defense31
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G2.0
Austin Form
LLWLW
DOWN
St. Louis City… Form
LWWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS57%
Under 2.537%
Austin Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
22%
4
14%
St. Louis C… Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.52
Austinvs
0.97
St. Louis City…Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Austin+5
Gap#18
St. Louis C…
WR 39% 43 pts
WR 35% 36 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 51 | 43 |
| St. Louis City … | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 57 | 36 |
Austin
8.0%
| Oct 02 | Austin v Nashvil… | 1-2 |
| Sep 28 | Austin v Real Sa… | 3-1 |
| Sep 21 | Austin v Seattle… | 2-1 |
| Sep 14 | Austin v FC Dall… | 2-0 |
| Sep 09 | Austin v Bosnia … | 1-2 |
| Sep 07 | Austin v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Sep 06 | Austin v Cyprus | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Austin v San Jos… | 3-1 |
| Aug 23 | Austin v Montréa… | 3-2 |
| Aug 17 | Austin v FC Dall… | 1-1 |
St. Louis City…
10.0%
| Sep 28 | St. Lou… v Los Ang… | 0-3 |
| Sep 21 | St. Lou… v San Jos… | 1-3 |
| Sep 13 | St. Lou… v Montréa… | 0-2 |
| Sep 07 | St. Lou… v FC Dall… | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | St. Lou… v Houston… | 2-3 |
| Aug 24 | St. Lou… v Vancouv… | 3-2 |
| Aug 17 | St. Lou… v Chicago… | 3-2 |
| Aug 10 | St. Lou… v Nashvil… | 3-1 |
| Jul 27 | St. Lou… v Minneso… | 1-2 |
| Jul 20 | St. Lou… v FC Dall… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Mar 30, 2025 | St. Louis Cit… | 0-1 | Austin |
| Apr 14, 2024 | St. Louis Cit… | 1-0 | Austin |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Austin | 2-2 | St. Louis Cit… |
| Aug 21, 2023 | St. Louis Cit… | 6-3 | Austin |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Austin | 2-3 | St. Louis Cit… |
Key Factors
Austin struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.