Major League Soccer · Jul 13, 2025 23:00
St. Louis City SC
PWR 44
Portland Timbers
PWR 36
St. Louis City SC
PWR 44
2 - 1
FT
Portland Timbers
PWR 36
27% H
29% D
44% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: St. Louis City SC to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (15%)
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (6%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack64
Defense31
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G2.0
Attack43
Defense40
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.7
St. Louis City… Form
LLLDL
DOWN
Portland Timbe… Form
WLDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS23%
Under 2.541%
St. Louis C… Goals
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Portland Ti… Goals
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.94
St. Louis City…vs
0.27
Portland Timbe…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#18
St. Louis C…-1
Gap#17
Portland Ti…
WR 35% 36 pts
WR 22% 37 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City … | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 57 | 36 |
| Portland Timbers | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44 | 62 | 37 |
St. Louis City…
2.0%
| Jul 06 | St. Lou… v Real Sa… | 3-2 |
| Jun 29 | St. Lou… v Houston… | 1-0 |
| Jun 26 | St. Lou… v Orlando… | 2-4 |
| Jun 14 | St. Lou… v Los Ang… | 3-3 |
| Jun 08 | St. Lou… v Portlan… | 2-1 |
| May 31 | St. Lou… v San Jos… | 2-1 |
| Mar 30 | St. Lou… v Austin | 0-1 |
| Oct 20 | St. Lou… v Minneso… | 4-1 |
| Aug 25 | St. Lou… v Portlan… | 4-4 |
| Aug 10 | St. Lou… v Portlan… | 3-1 |
Portland Timbe…
14.0%
| Jul 06 | Portlan… v New Eng… | 2-1 |
| Jun 28 | Portlan… v Toronto… | 3-0 |
| Jun 14 | Portlan… v San Jos… | 1-1 |
| Jun 08 | Portlan… v St. Lou… | 2-1 |
| May 29 | Portlan… v Colorad… | 2-1 |
| Apr 20 | Portlan… v Los Ang… | 3-3 |
| Feb 12 | Portlan… v San Die… | 3-0 |
| Jan 29 | Portlan… v Los Ang… | 1-0 |
| Oct 24 | Portlan… v Vancouv… | 5-0 |
| Oct 20 | Portlan… v Seattle… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jun 08, 2025 | Portland Timb… | 2-1 | St. Louis Cit… |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Portland Timb… | 4-4 | St. Louis Cit… |
| Aug 10, 2024 | St. Louis Cit… | 3-1 | Portland Timb… |
| Jun 09, 2024 | St. Louis Cit… | 0-0 | Portland Timb… |
| Apr 30, 2023 | St. Louis Cit… | 1-2 | Portland Timb… |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Portland Timb… | 1-2 | St. Louis Cit… |
Key Factors
Portland Timbers in strong form (3W in last 5)
St. Louis City SC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.