AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Major League Soccer Jun 08, 2025

Portland Timbers

Home
VS
23:00

St. Louis City SC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Portland Timbers Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
St. Louis City SC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 4.50 - 2.01
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 2.0
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Portland Timbers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
St. Louis City SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 3-3 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 3-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Portland Timbers Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 29 Portland … vs Colorado … 2-1
Apr 20 Portland … vs Los Angel… 3-3
Feb 12 Portland … vs San Diego 3-0
Jan 29 Portland … vs Los Angel… 1-0
Oct 24 Portland … vs Vancouver… 5-0
Oct 20 Portland … vs Seattle S… 1-1
Oct 06 Portland … vs FC Dallas 0-0
Aug 25 Portland … vs St. Louis… 4-4
Aug 10 Portland … vs St. Louis… 3-1
Jun 09 Portland … vs St. Louis… 0-0
St. Louis City SC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 31 St. Louis… vs San Jose … 2-1
Mar 30 St. Louis… vs Austin 0-1
Oct 20 St. Louis… vs Minnesota… 4-1
Aug 25 St. Louis… vs Portland … 4-4
Aug 10 St. Louis… vs Portland … 3-1
Jun 09 St. Louis… vs Portland … 0-0
Apr 14 St. Louis… vs Austin 1-0
Mar 10 St. Louis… vs Austin 2-2
Aug 21 St. Louis… vs Austin 6-3
Apr 30 St. Louis… vs Portland … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 25, 2024 Portland Timbers 4 - 4 St. Louis City SC Major League S…
Aug 10, 2024 St. Louis City SC 3 - 1 Portland Timbers Leagues Cup
Jun 09, 2024 St. Louis City SC 0 - 0 Portland Timbers Major League S…
Apr 30, 2023 St. Louis City SC 1 - 2 Portland Timbers Major League S…
Mar 12, 2023 Portland Timbers 1 - 2 St. Louis City SC Major League S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Portland Timbers to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Portland Timbers Power 0
St. Louis City SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.