Major League Soccer · Mar 30, 2025 18:15

St. Louis City SC
PWR 44
0 - 1
FT

Austin
PWR 44
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (11%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk40%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 4% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 4%, pos gap 5
Power & Form
Attack64
Defense31
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G2.0
Attack51
Defense42
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.6
St. Louis City… Form LDWDW
STABLE
Austin Form LDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS44%
Under 2.544%
St. Louis C… Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Austin Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
St. Louis City…
vs
0.65
Austin
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#18
St. Louis C…
-5
Gap
#13
Austin
WR 35% 36 pts WR 39% 43 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
St. Louis City …2910613535736
Austin3112712455143
St. Louis City… 12.0%
Oct 20 St. Lou… v Minneso… 4-1
Aug 25 St. Lou… v Portlan… 4-4
Aug 10 St. Lou… v Portlan… 3-1
Jun 09 St. Lou… v Portlan… 0-0
Apr 14 St. Lou… v Austin 1-0
Mar 10 St. Lou… v Austin 2-2
Aug 21 St. Lou… v Austin 6-3
Apr 30 St. Lou… v Portlan… 1-2
Mar 12 St. Lou… v Portlan… 1-2
Feb 26 St. Lou… v Austin 2-3
Austin 14.0%
Mar 23 Austin v Serbia 2-0
Mar 20 Austin v Serbia 1-1
Mar 15 Austin v Los Ang… 0-1
Feb 01 Austin v Louisvi… 3-1
Oct 20 Austin v Colorad… 3-2
Sep 19 Austin v Los Ang… 1-1
Aug 08 Austin v Los Ang… 2-0
Jul 07 Austin v New Yor… 2-1
Jul 02 Austin v Turkey 1-2
Jun 25 Austin v Netherl… 2-3
Head-to-Head (4)
Apr 14, 2024 St. Louis Cit… 1-0 Austin
Mar 10, 2024 Austin 2-2 St. Louis Cit…
Aug 21, 2023 St. Louis Cit… 6-3 Austin
Feb 26, 2023 Austin 2-3 St. Louis Cit…
Key Factors
Austin in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.