Major League Soccer · Mar 30, 2025 18:15

St. Louis City SC
PWR 44

Austin
PWR 44

St. Louis City SC
PWR 44
0 - 1
FT

Austin
PWR 44
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%)
1-0 (11%)
3-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk40%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 4% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 4%, pos gap 5
Power & Form
Attack64
Defense31
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G2.0
Attack51
Defense42
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.6
St. Louis City… Form
LDWDW
STABLE
Austin Form
LDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS44%
Under 2.544%
St. Louis C… Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Austin Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
St. Louis City…vs
0.65
AustinDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#18
St. Louis C…-5
Gap#13
Austin
WR 35% 36 pts
WR 39% 43 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City … | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 57 | 36 |
| Austin | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 51 | 43 |
St. Louis City…
12.0%
| Oct 20 | St. Lou… v Minneso… | 4-1 |
| Aug 25 | St. Lou… v Portlan… | 4-4 |
| Aug 10 | St. Lou… v Portlan… | 3-1 |
| Jun 09 | St. Lou… v Portlan… | 0-0 |
| Apr 14 | St. Lou… v Austin | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | St. Lou… v Austin | 2-2 |
| Aug 21 | St. Lou… v Austin | 6-3 |
| Apr 30 | St. Lou… v Portlan… | 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | St. Lou… v Portlan… | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | St. Lou… v Austin | 2-3 |
Austin
14.0%
| Mar 23 | Austin v Serbia | 2-0 |
| Mar 20 | Austin v Serbia | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Austin v Los Ang… | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Austin v Louisvi… | 3-1 |
| Oct 20 | Austin v Colorad… | 3-2 |
| Sep 19 | Austin v Los Ang… | 1-1 |
| Aug 08 | Austin v Los Ang… | 2-0 |
| Jul 07 | Austin v New Yor… | 2-1 |
| Jul 02 | Austin v Turkey | 1-2 |
| Jun 25 | Austin v Netherl… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Apr 14, 2024 | St. Louis Cit… | 1-0 | Austin |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Austin | 2-2 | St. Louis Cit… |
| Aug 21, 2023 | St. Louis Cit… | 6-3 | Austin |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Austin | 2-3 | St. Louis Cit… |
Key Factors
Austin in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.