Liga Premier Serie A · Sep 21, 2025 02:30
Ensenada
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT
Tritons Vallarta
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Tritons Vallarta to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (47%) 0-1 (19%) 1-0 (17%) 1-1 (7%) 0-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ensenada Form DWWL
STABLE
Tritons Vallar… Form WWWWL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.54%
BTTS10%
Under 2.596%
Ensenada Goals
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Tritons Val… Goals
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35
Ensenada
vs
0.40
Tritons Vallar…
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings42%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Ensenada
-4
Gap
#6
Tritons Val…
WR 33% 22 pts WR 38% 30 pts
Ensenada 12.5%
Sep 13 Ensenada v Tecos 1-1
Sep 07 Ensenada v Guerrer… 1-0
Aug 30 Ensenada v Mineros… 0-2
Aug 24 Ensenada v Cimarro… 0-1
Tritons Vallar… 16.0%
Sep 13 Tritons… v Atlante… 5-0
Sep 06 Tritons… v Durango 1-0
Aug 30 Tritons… v Rebocer… 2-0
Aug 23 Tritons… v Colima 0-2
Mar 23 Tritons… v Leones … 1-2
Mar 08 Tritons… v Los Cab… 0-0
Jan 11 Tritons… v Durango 0-1
Nov 09 Tritons… v Leones … 1-1
Oct 29 Tritons… v Los Cab… 2-1
Sep 08 Tritons… v Durango 1-1
Key Factors
Tritons Vallarta in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.