Liga Premier Serie A · Sep 21, 2025 01:00
Celaya
PWR 35
Celaya
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Deportiva Venados
PWR 35
PWR 35
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Celaya to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Celaya Form
LWDWD
STABLE
Deportiva Vena… Form
WLWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS53%
Under 2.534%
Celaya Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Deportiva V… Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.29
Celayavs
0.79
Deportiva Vena…Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings59%
Market50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Celaya+1
Gap#3
Deportiva V…
WR 75% 35 pts
WR 50% 31 pts
Celaya
12.0%
| Sep 14 | Celaya v Neza | 3-2 |
| Sep 07 | Celaya v Mexical… | 3-2 |
| Aug 29 | Celaya v Cañoner… | 3-3 |
| Aug 24 | Celaya v Pionero… | 3-1 |
| Apr 27 | Celaya v CDS Tam… | 0-0 |
| Apr 24 | Celaya v CDS Tam… | 1-0 |
| Apr 20 | Celaya v Tapatío | 1-0 |
| Apr 13 | Celaya v Leones … | 2-3 |
| Apr 06 | Celaya v Tlaxcala | 0-3 |
| Mar 30 | Celaya v Alebrij… | 3-0 |
Deportiva Vena…
16.0%
| Sep 13 | Deporti… v Chapuli… | 5-1 |
| Sep 07 | Deporti… v Racing … | 1-0 |
| Aug 30 | Deporti… v Pachuca | 3-1 |
| Mar 30 | Deporti… v Artesan… | 2-1 |
| Mar 23 | Deporti… v Caja Ob… | 4-2 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v Racing … | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Deporti… v CDM | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | Deporti… v Pachuca | 1-3 |
| Nov 23 | Deporti… v Artesan… | 4-0 |
| Nov 17 | Deporti… v Caja Ob… | 1-2 |
Key Factors
Deportiva Venados in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.