Predictions Match Details
Primera DivisiĂłn · Sep 22, 2025 01:00

Alianza Lima
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT

Comerciantes Unidos
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 0%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Alianza Lima Form LDWWD
STABLE
Comerciantes U… Form DWWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS56%
Under 2.543%
Alianza Lima Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Comerciante… Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Alianza Lima
vs
1.02
Comerciantes U…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings53%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Alianza Lima
+2
Gap
#6
Comerciante…
WR 0% 3 pts WR 0% 3 pts
Alianza Lima 12.0%
Sep 14 Alianza… v Deporti… 3-4
Aug 24 Alianza… v Univers… 0-0
Aug 17 Alianza… v ADT 3-1
Aug 09 Alianza… v Ayacuch… 0-1
Aug 06 Alianza… v Sportin… 0-0
Aug 01 Alianza… v Juan Pa… 1-2
Jul 27 Alianza… v Alianza… 1-1
Jul 19 Alianza… v Cusco 2-0
Jul 12 Alianza… v UTC 0-0
Jul 06 Alianza… v Deporti… 5-1
Comerciantes U… 16.0%
Sep 21 Comerci… v Santos 0-0
Sep 17 Comerci… v Sport H… 2-0
Sep 13 Comerci… v Sport B… 0-1
Sep 07 Comerci… v San Mar… 6-0
Aug 30 Comerci… v Deporti… 2-2
Aug 24 Comerci… v Union C… 0-1
Aug 23 Comerci… v Alianza… 1-2
Aug 16 Comerci… v Santos 3-0
Aug 15 Comerci… v Atletic… 1-2
Aug 08 Comerci… v Ciencia… 1-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Jun 19, 2025 Comerciantes … 0-1 Alianza Lima
Aug 03, 2024 Comerciantes … 1-3 Alianza Lima
Feb 25, 2024 Alianza Lima 5-1 Comerciantes …
Key Factors
Comerciantes Unidos in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.