AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Sep 14, 2025

Cusco

Home
VS
22:30

Sporting Cristal

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Cusco Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Sporting Cristal Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.38 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cusco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Sporting Cristal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Cusco Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 22 Cusco vs Juan Pabl… 0-0
Aug 17 Cusco vs Alianza A… 1-0
Aug 04 Cusco vs UTC 1-2
Jul 31 Cusco vs Deportivo… 2-0
Jul 27 Cusco vs FBC Melgar 0-2
Jul 19 Cusco vs Alianza L… 2-0
Jul 13 Cusco vs Sport Hua… 3-0
Jul 06 Cusco vs Sport Boys 1-2
Jun 29 Cusco vs Alianza U… 4-1
Jun 19 Cusco vs Atletico … 0-0
Sporting Cristal Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Sporting … vs UTC 2-2
Aug 16 Sporting … vs Deportivo… 1-3
Aug 10 Sporting … vs FBC Melgar 1-0
Aug 06 Sporting … vs Alianza L… 0-0
Jul 30 Sporting … vs Sport Hua… 5-0
Jul 26 Sporting … vs Sport Boys 0-2
Jul 20 Sporting … vs Alianza U… 3-0
Jul 13 Sporting … vs Atletico … 2-1
Jul 05 Sporting … vs Cienciano 1-1
Jun 29 Sporting … vs Comercian… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cusco in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Sporting Cristal in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 13, 2025 Sporting Cristal 1 - 0 Cusco Primera Divisi…
Sep 22, 2024 Cusco 1 - 1 Sporting Cristal Primera Divisi…
Apr 21, 2024 Sporting Cristal 2 - 0 Cusco Primera Divisi…
Sep 29, 2023 Cusco 4 - 1 Sporting Cristal Primera Divisi…
May 21, 2023 Sporting Cristal 3 - 2 Cusco Primera Divisi…
Aug 22, 2021 Sporting Cristal 4 - 1 Cusco Primera Divisi…
Jun 19, 2021 Sporting Cristal 3 - 2 Cusco Copa Bicentena…
May 08, 2021 Cusco 1 - 2 Sporting Cristal Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cusco Power 0
Sporting Cristal Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Cusco Position

-4

Position Gap

10

Sporting Cristal Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.