AI Match Insights

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Primera DivisiĂłn Aug 10, 2025

Sporting Cristal

Home
VS
16:00

FBC Melgar

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Sporting Cristal Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
FBC Melgar Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.45 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.4
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting Cristal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
FBC Melgar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Sporting Cristal Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 06 Sporting … vs Alianza L… 0-0
Jul 30 Sporting … vs Sport Hua… 5-0
Jul 26 Sporting … vs Sport Boys 0-2
Jul 20 Sporting … vs Alianza U… 3-0
Jul 13 Sporting … vs Atletico … 2-1
Jul 05 Sporting … vs Cienciano 1-1
Jun 29 Sporting … vs Comercian… 2-0
Jun 21 Sporting … vs Cultural … 3-1
Jun 15 Sporting … vs Deportivo… 3-2
May 23 Sporting … vs Universit… 2-0
FBC Melgar Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 05 FBC Melgar vs Juan Pabl… 1-1
Aug 01 FBC Melgar vs Alianza A… 0-0
Jul 27 FBC Melgar vs Cusco 0-2
Jul 19 FBC Melgar vs UTC 1-2
Jul 12 FBC Melgar vs Deportivo… 1-1
Jul 02 FBC Melgar vs Juan Pabl… 1-1
Jun 28 FBC Melgar vs Alianza L… 0-1
Jun 21 FBC Melgar vs Sport Hua… 2-2
Jun 14 FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys 2-1
May 23 FBC Melgar vs Alianza U… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sporting Cristal in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 08, 2025 FBC Melgar 1 - 0 Sporting Cristal Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting Cristal Power 0
FBC Melgar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Sporting Cristal Position

-9

Position Gap

1

FBC Melgar Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.