Primera División · Jun 19, 2025 00:00
Comerciantes Unidos
PWR 35
Alianza Lima
PWR 35
Comerciantes Unidos
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Alianza Lima
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (10%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Comerciantes U… Form
DLWDW
STABLE
Alianza Lima Form
DWWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS33%
Under 2.561%
Comerciante… Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Alianza Lima Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Comerciantes U…vs
0.51
Alianza LimaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Comerciante…-2
Gap#4
Alianza Lima
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 100% 3 pts
Comerciantes U…
12.0%
| Jun 14 | Comerci… v UCV Moq… | 1-1 |
| Jun 12 | Comerci… v Alianza… | 3-0 |
| Jun 08 | Comerci… v U. San … | 0-3 |
| May 31 | Comerci… v Academi… | 1-1 |
| May 25 | Comerci… v Santos | 3-2 |
| May 24 | Comerci… v Cusco | 1-2 |
| May 18 | Comerci… v Bentín … | 2-0 |
| May 17 | Comerci… v UTC | 2-0 |
| May 11 | Comerci… v Union C… | 2-1 |
| May 09 | Comerci… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
Alianza Lima
12.0%
| Jun 15 | Alianza… v Sport H… | 0-0 |
| May 24 | Alianza… v Sport B… | 0-1 |
| May 20 | Alianza… v Alianza… | 2-0 |
| May 10 | Alianza… v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| May 03 | Alianza… v Ciencia… | 0-1 |
| Apr 19 | Alianza… v Cultura… | 1-0 |
| Apr 15 | Alianza… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Apr 06 | Alianza… v Univers… | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | Alianza… v ADT | 3-0 |
| Mar 08 | Alianza… v Ayacuch… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 03, 2024 | Comerciantes … | 1-3 | Alianza Lima |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Alianza Lima | 5-1 | Comerciantes … |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.