AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Apr 13, 2025

Sporting Cristal

Home
VS
16:00

Cusco

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Sporting Cristal Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Cusco Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 4.50 - 0.91
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.9
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting Cristal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Cusco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Sporting Cristal Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Sporting … vs UTC 4-1
Mar 29 Sporting … vs Deportivo… 5-0
Mar 08 Sporting … vs FBC Melgar 1-0
Mar 02 Sporting … vs Alianza L… 1-2
Nov 03 Sporting … vs Comercian… 3-0
Oct 27 Sporting … vs Union Com… 0-12
Oct 24 Sporting … vs Universit… 2-1
Oct 19 Sporting … vs Alianza A… 1-0
Sep 29 Sporting … vs César Val… 4-1
Sep 22 Sporting … vs Cusco 1-1
Cusco Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Cusco vs Juan Pabl… 4-2
Mar 28 Cusco vs Alianza A… 2-4
Nov 03 Cusco vs Alianza L… 1-2
Oct 28 Cusco vs Atletico … 0-1
Oct 24 Cusco vs Carlos A.… 4-1
Oct 17 Cusco vs Cultural … 2-1
Sep 28 Cusco vs Cienciano 1-2
Sep 22 Cusco vs Sporting … 1-1
Aug 20 Cusco vs Universit… 1-1
Aug 15 Cusco vs Alianza A… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cusco in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Sporting Cristal struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 22, 2024 Cusco 1 - 1 Sporting Cristal Primera Divisi…
Apr 21, 2024 Sporting Cristal 2 - 0 Cusco Primera Divisi…
Sep 29, 2023 Cusco 4 - 1 Sporting Cristal Primera Divisi…
May 21, 2023 Sporting Cristal 3 - 2 Cusco Primera Divisi…
Aug 22, 2021 Sporting Cristal 4 - 1 Cusco Primera Divisi…
Jun 19, 2021 Sporting Cristal 3 - 2 Cusco Copa Bicentena…
May 08, 2021 Cusco 1 - 2 Sporting Cristal Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting Cristal Power 0
Cusco Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Sporting Cristal Position

+4

Position Gap

14

Cusco Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.