Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 08, 2025 23:00

FBC Melgar
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Sporting Cristal
PWR 35
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
FBC Melgar Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
74%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (5 rules, 74% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FBC Melgar Form DWWWD
STABLE
Sporting Crist… Form LWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.525%
BTTS23%
Under 2.575%
FBC Melgar Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Sporting Cr… Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
FBC Melgar
vs
0.38
Sporting Crist…
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings76%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
FBC Melgar
+8
Gap
#10
Sporting Cr…
WR 100% 3 pts WR 0% 1 pts
FBC Melgar 16.0%
Nov 03 FBC Mel… v Deporti… 1-1
Oct 27 FBC Mel… v Sport H… 2-4
Oct 22 FBC Mel… v UTC 1-0
Oct 18 FBC Mel… v Sport B… 0-2
Sep 29 FBC Mel… v Alianza… 1-1
Sep 24 FBC Mel… v Atletic… 0-0
Aug 26 FBC Mel… v Ciencia… 3-1
Aug 22 FBC Mel… v Sportin… 2-0
Mar 30 FBC Mel… v Ciencia… 2-0
Mar 14 FBC Mel… v Sportin… 1-2
Sporting Crist… 12.0%
Mar 02 Sportin… v Alianza… 1-2
Nov 03 Sportin… v Comerci… 3-0
Oct 27 Sportin… v Union C… 0-12
Oct 24 Sportin… v Univers… 2-1
Oct 19 Sportin… v Alianza… 1-0
Sep 29 Sportin… v César V… 4-1
Sep 22 Sportin… v Cusco 1-1
Sep 17 Sportin… v Deporti… 1-0
Aug 22 Sportin… v FBC Mel… 2-0
Jul 27 Sportin… v Ciencia… 5-1
Head-to-Head (8)
Aug 22, 2024 FBC Melgar 2-0 Sporting Cris…
Mar 14, 2024 Sporting Cris… 1-2 FBC Melgar
Jul 23, 2023 FBC Melgar 1-1 Sporting Cris…
Feb 17, 2023 Sporting Cris… 1-0 FBC Melgar
Nov 06, 2022 Sporting Cris… 0-2 FBC Melgar
Nov 02, 2022 FBC Melgar 2-0 Sporting Cris…
Jul 17, 2022 FBC Melgar 0-1 Sporting Cris…
Feb 13, 2022 Sporting Cris… 2-2 FBC Melgar
Key Factors
FBC Melgar in strong form (3W in last 5)
Sporting Cristal in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.