AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Sep 22, 2025

Sagaing United

Home
VS
09:30

Rakhine United

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Sagaing United Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Rakhine United Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.16 - 0.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.3
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sagaing United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Rakhine United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
75%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Sagaing United Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 12 Sagaing U… vs Yarmanya … 0-0
Aug 22 Sagaing U… vs Yadanarbon 3-2
Feb 28 Sagaing U… vs Thitsar A… 3-3
Feb 03 Sagaing U… vs Yadanarbon 2-0
Jan 24 Sagaing U… vs I.S.P.E 2-1
Jan 17 Sagaing U… vs Dagon Port 3-2
Jan 11 Sagaing U… vs Yangon Un… 2-2
Nov 23 Sagaing U… vs Ayeyawady… 3-1
Oct 19 Sagaing U… vs Hantharwa… 3-2
Sep 20 Sagaing U… vs Ayeyawady… 2-0
Rakhine United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Rakhine U… vs Shan Unit… 3-0
Aug 23 Rakhine U… vs Yangon Un… 5-0
Aug 16 Rakhine U… vs Hantharwa… 1-2
Feb 24 Rakhine U… vs Ayeyawady… 1-2
Feb 09 Rakhine U… vs Thitsar A… 1-3
Jan 30 Rakhine U… vs I.S.P.E 0-0
Jan 25 Rakhine U… vs Yangon Un… 0-5
Jan 18 Rakhine U… vs Yadanarbon 2-4
Oct 21 Rakhine U… vs Yangon Un… 1-0
Sep 15 Rakhine U… vs Ayeyawady… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rakhine United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sagaing United Power 0
Rakhine United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Sagaing United Position

+3

Position Gap

8

Rakhine United Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.