AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Cup Aug 01, 2025

Caernarfon Town

Home
VS
19:00

Colwyn Bay

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Caernarfon Town Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Colwyn Bay Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.73 - 1.05
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
Caernarfon Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Colwyn Bay Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Caernarfon Town Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 26 Caernarfo… vs Cwmbran C… 0-4
Jul 19 Caernarfo… vs Swansea C… 1-4
May 18 Caernarfo… vs Haverford… 3-1
May 11 Caernarfo… vs Cardiff M… 0-0
Apr 26 Caernarfo… vs Bala Town 5-2
Apr 19 Caernarfo… vs Cardiff M… 2-1
Apr 13 Caernarfo… vs Penybont 3-1
Apr 12 Caernarfo… vs Penrhiwce… 5-5
Apr 05 Caernarfo… vs Baglan Dr… 1-1
Mar 29 Caernarfo… vs Trefelin 1-1
Colwyn Bay Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 Colwyn Bay vs Penrhynco… 0-1
Apr 05 Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno 3-0
Mar 28 Colwyn Bay vs Denbigh T… 1-0
Dec 15 Colwyn Bay vs The New S… 4-1
Nov 16 Colwyn Bay vs Ruthin To… 2-1
Aug 03 Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwy… 0-2
Apr 21 Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town 1-0
Apr 13 Colwyn Bay vs Haverford… 3-1
Apr 06 Colwyn Bay vs Pontyprid… 1-0
Mar 29 Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwy… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Colwyn Bay in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 31, 2023 Caernarfon Town 2 - 1 Colwyn Bay Premier League
Aug 13, 2023 Colwyn Bay 0 - 4 Caernarfon Town Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Caernarfon Town to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Caernarfon Town Power 0
Colwyn Bay Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.