Premiership · Oct 11, 2025 14:00

Carrick Rangers
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Portadown
PWR 35
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 0-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 2.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Carrick Rangers Form LLLLL
DOWN
Portadown Form LWWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS51%
Under 2.549%
Carrick Ran… Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Portadown Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Carrick Rangers
vs
0.92
Portadown
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings54%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Carrick Ran…
+3
Gap
#9
Portadown
WR 31% 32 pts WR 33% 28 pts
Carrick Rangers 0.0%
Oct 07 Carrick… v Armagh … 3-2
Oct 04 Carrick… v Ballyme… 1-2
Sep 27 Carrick… v Colerai… 2-1
Sep 20 Carrick… v Larne 2-0
Sep 06 Carrick… v Clifton… 1-2
Aug 30 Carrick… v Glentor… 1-1
Aug 23 Carrick… v Dungann… 0-2
Aug 16 Carrick… v Glentor… 1-0
Aug 09 Carrick… v Crusade… 3-4
Apr 12 Carrick… v Ballyme… 1-1
Portadown 8.0%
Oct 07 Portado… v Newry C… 1-0
Oct 04 Portado… v Glentor… 3-1
Sep 27 Portado… v Clifton… 1-2
Sep 19 Portado… v Bangor 1-4
Sep 13 Portado… v Colerai… 1-4
Sep 06 Portado… v Linfield 3-0
Aug 29 Portado… v Crusade… 2-1
Aug 22 Portado… v Larne 4-0
Aug 19 Portado… v Ballyme… 0-2
Aug 16 Portado… v Dungann… 1-4
Head-to-Head (9)
Apr 05, 2025 Carrick Range… 4-1 Portadown
Mar 08, 2025 Portadown 1-0 Carrick Range…
Nov 09, 2024 Portadown 1-1 Carrick Range…
Sep 07, 2024 Carrick Range… 0-1 Portadown
Jan 06, 2024 Carrick Range… 1-1 Portadown
Apr 15, 2023 Portadown 3-1 Carrick Range…
Mar 04, 2023 Portadown 1-3 Carrick Range…
Nov 19, 2022 Carrick Range… 2-0 Portadown
Nov 08, 2022 Carrick Range… 2-0 Portadown
Key Factors
Carrick Rangers struggling (5L in last 5)
Portadown struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.