AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Aug 22, 2025

Popayan

Home
VS
20:00

Real Soacha

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Popayan Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Real Soacha Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 2.40 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Popayan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Real Soacha Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Popayan Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Popayan vs Cúcuta De… 1-0
Aug 08 Popayan vs Real Cart… 2-2
Aug 03 Popayan vs Patriotas… 1-0
Jul 25 Popayan vs Internaci… 2-0
Jul 19 Popayan vs Quindio 2-2
Jul 14 Popayan vs Leones FC 1-1
Jun 14 Popayan vs Bucaraman… 0-1
Jun 07 Popayan vs Chico 1-0
Jun 03 Popayan vs Quindio 2-0
May 31 Popayan vs Deportivo… 2-1
Real Soacha Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 19 Real Soac… vs Depor FC 2-3
Aug 14 Real Soac… vs Deportes … 1-0
Aug 09 Real Soac… vs Cúcuta De… 1-1
Aug 05 Real Soac… vs Real Cart… 0-0
Jul 30 Real Soac… vs Deportes … 1-2
Jul 26 Real Soac… vs Real Sant… 2-0
Jul 21 Real Soac… vs Patriotas… 2-1
Jul 16 Real Soac… vs Jaguares 0-1
Jun 13 Real Soac… vs Huila 1-2
Jun 08 Real Soac… vs Cúcuta De… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Soacha in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 17, 2025 Real Soacha 1 - 0 Popayan Primera B
Aug 31, 2024 Popayan 0 - 2 Real Soacha Primera B
Mar 17, 2024 Real Soacha 1 - 0 Popayan Primera B
Sep 01, 2023 Popayan 1 - 0 Real Soacha Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Popayan Power 0
Real Soacha Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Popayan Position

-2

Position Gap

13

Real Soacha Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.