AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B May 17, 2025

Leones FC

Home
VS
20:00

Bogota FC

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Leones FC Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Bogota FC Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.85 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 0.8
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Leones FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Bogota FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Leones FC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Leones FC vs Depor FC 0-0
May 05 Leones FC vs Jaguares 1-3
Apr 26 Leones FC vs Cúcuta De… 0-1
Apr 20 Leones FC vs Huila 2-0
Apr 11 Leones FC vs Patriotas… 3-1
Apr 06 Leones FC vs Quindio 4-1
Mar 28 Leones FC vs Jaguares 2-0
Mar 25 Leones FC vs Real Soac… 3-1
Mar 17 Leones FC vs Real Sant… 1-0
Mar 12 Leones FC vs Internaci… 1-2
Bogota FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 Bogota FC vs Tigres FC 1-2
May 06 Bogota FC vs Real Soac… 1-2
Apr 27 Bogota FC vs Popayan 1-0
Apr 19 Bogota FC vs Quindio 1-1
Apr 12 Bogota FC vs Barranqui… 2-0
Apr 08 Bogota FC vs Jaguares 2-2
Mar 30 Bogota FC vs Tigres FC 2-1
Mar 24 Bogota FC vs Patriotas… 0-2
Mar 16 Bogota FC vs Cúcuta De… 2-0
Mar 10 Bogota FC vs Huila 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Leones FC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 28, 2024 Leones FC 1 - 1 Bogota FC Primera B
Apr 27, 2024 Bogota FC 2 - 2 Leones FC Primera B
Sep 16, 2023 Leones FC 1 - 0 Bogota FC Primera B
Apr 10, 2023 Bogota FC 4 - 3 Leones FC Primera B
Jul 09, 2022 Leones FC 2 - 2 Bogota FC Primera B
Apr 09, 2022 Bogota FC 1 - 0 Leones FC Primera B
Oct 24, 2021 Leones FC 1 - 0 Bogota FC Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Leones FC Power 0
Bogota FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Leones FC Position

-4

Position Gap

12

Bogota FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.