AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Mar 17, 2025

Real Soacha

Home
VS
20:00

Popayan

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Real Soacha Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Popayan Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.18 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Soacha Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Popayan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Real Soacha Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Real Soac… vs Depor FC 5-2
Mar 02 Real Soac… vs Cúcuta De… 1-1
Feb 15 Real Soac… vs Real Sant… 3-4
Feb 07 Real Soac… vs Patriotas… 0-0
Feb 02 Real Soac… vs Jaguares 1-1
Nov 23 Real Soac… vs Union Mag… 2-0
Nov 18 Real Soac… vs Huila 1-0
Nov 13 Real Soac… vs Cúcuta De… 1-1
Nov 09 Real Soac… vs Cúcuta De… 1-0
Nov 02 Real Soac… vs Huila 0-0
Popayan Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 07 Popayan vs Cúcuta De… 0-1
Mar 02 Popayan vs Real Cart… 3-2
Feb 21 Popayan vs Patriotas… 1-2
Feb 16 Popayan vs Internaci… 1-0
Feb 10 Popayan vs Quindio 4-0
Feb 03 Popayan vs Leones FC 1-1
Oct 22 Popayan vs Union Mag… 1-0
Oct 16 Popayan vs Depor FC 2-0
Oct 08 Popayan vs Quindio 3-1
Sep 15 Popayan vs Tigres FC 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Popayan struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2024 Popayan 0 - 2 Real Soacha Primera B
Mar 17, 2024 Real Soacha 1 - 0 Popayan Primera B
Sep 01, 2023 Popayan 1 - 0 Real Soacha Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Soacha to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Soacha Power 0
Popayan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Real Soacha Position

+1

Position Gap

16

Popayan Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.