AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Feb 09, 2025

Real Cartagena

Home
VS
21:00

Bogota FC

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Real Cartagena Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Bogota FC Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.50 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Cartagena Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Bogota FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Real Cartagena Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Real Cart… vs Internaci… 2-0
Nov 23 Real Cart… vs Orsomarso 0-1
Nov 19 Real Cart… vs Llaneros 1-0
Nov 13 Real Cart… vs Quindio 2-1
Nov 09 Real Cart… vs Quindio 3-0
Nov 04 Real Cart… vs Llaneros 5-1
Oct 31 Real Cart… vs Orsomarso 2-1
Oct 22 Real Cart… vs Tigres FC 3-1
Oct 14 Real Cart… vs Orsomarso 1-0
Sep 17 Real Cart… vs Real Soac… 2-1
Bogota FC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Bogota FC vs Orsomarso 2-2
Oct 22 Bogota FC vs Orsomarso 2-3
Oct 17 Bogota FC vs Barranqui… 4-2
Sep 28 Bogota FC vs Leones FC 1-1
Aug 21 Bogota FC vs Internaci… 1-2
Jul 25 Bogota FC vs Union Mag… 3-2
Apr 27 Bogota FC vs Leones FC 2-2
Feb 02 Bogota FC vs Union Mag… 0-2
Sep 16 Bogota FC vs Leones FC 1-0
Apr 10 Bogota FC vs Leones FC 4-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Cartagena in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Bogota FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Cartagena to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Cartagena Power 0
Bogota FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Real Cartagena Position

+10

Position Gap

12

Bogota FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.