AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Oct 16, 2025

Marquense

Home
VS
02:00

Antigua GFC

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Marquense Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Antigua GFC Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.76 - 0.76
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Marquense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Antigua GFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Marquense Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 13 Marquense vs Aurora 1-1
Sep 20 Marquense vs Municipal 3-0
Sep 18 Marquense vs Guastatoya 0-2
Sep 12 Marquense vs Mixco 1-0
Sep 06 Marquense vs Mictlán 1-0
Sep 01 Marquense vs XelajĂş 3-1
Aug 25 Marquense vs Malacatec… 4-1
Aug 17 Marquense vs Comunicac… 3-0
Aug 11 Marquense vs Cobán Imp… 1-0
Aug 03 Marquense vs Aurora 1-1
Antigua GFC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Antigua G… vs Achuapa 1-0
Oct 06 Antigua G… vs Xelajú 2-1
Sep 21 Antigua G… vs Malacatec… 3-1
Sep 18 Antigua G… vs Municipal 1-1
Sep 13 Antigua G… vs Comunicac… 0-3
Sep 07 Antigua G… vs Guastatoya 3-1
Aug 31 Antigua G… vs Cobán Imp… 2-2
Aug 28 Antigua G… vs LD Alajue… 1-0
Aug 23 Antigua G… vs Mixco 2-1
Aug 16 Antigua G… vs Aurora 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Antigua GFC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Marquense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 20, 2025 Antigua GFC 3 - 0 Marquense Liga Nacional
Apr 05, 2025 Antigua GFC 1 - 3 Marquense Liga Nacional
Feb 02, 2025 Marquense 0 - 0 Antigua GFC Liga Nacional
Oct 13, 2024 Antigua GFC 4 - 2 Marquense Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Marquense Power 0
Antigua GFC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Marquense Position

-7

Position Gap

3

Antigua GFC Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.