AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Jul 20, 2025

Antigua GFC

Home
VS
00:00

Marquense

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Antigua GFC Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Marquense Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.69 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.4 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Antigua GFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Marquense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Antigua GFC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 18 Antigua G… vs Municipal 1-2
May 16 Antigua G… vs Municipal 0-0
May 11 Antigua G… vs Cobán Imp… 4-0
May 07 Antigua G… vs Cobán Imp… 2-1
May 04 Antigua G… vs Guastatoya 2-0
Apr 30 Antigua G… vs Guastatoya 0-3
Apr 13 Antigua G… vs Cobán Imp… 2-1
Apr 10 Antigua G… vs Malacatec… 1-1
Apr 05 Antigua G… vs Marquense 1-3
Apr 02 Antigua G… vs Municipal 1-2
Marquense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 Marquense vs Municipal 1-0
May 09 Marquense vs Municipal 1-1
May 05 Marquense vs Comunicac… 2-1
May 01 Marquense vs Comunicac… 2-0
Apr 27 Marquense vs Malacatec… 2-0
Apr 23 Marquense vs Municipal 0-0
Apr 21 Marquense vs XelajĂş 1-0
Apr 16 Marquense vs Achuapa 1-0
Apr 05 Marquense vs Antigua G… 1-3
Apr 03 Marquense vs Comunicac… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Antigua GFC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 05, 2025 Antigua GFC 1 - 3 Marquense Liga Nacional
Feb 02, 2025 Marquense 0 - 0 Antigua GFC Liga Nacional
Oct 13, 2024 Antigua GFC 4 - 2 Marquense Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Antigua GFC to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Antigua GFC Power 0
Marquense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Antigua GFC Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Marquense Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.