AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Aug 18, 2025

Sarmiento de Junín

Home
VS
22:00

Atlético Tucumán

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Sarmiento de Junín Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Atlético Tucumán Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.39 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sarmiento de Junín Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Atlético Tucumán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (16%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Sarmiento de Junín Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 Sarmiento… vs 9 de Juli… 0-0
Aug 09 Sarmiento… vs San Martí… 0-1
Aug 02 Sarmiento… vs Juventud … 3-1
Jul 27 Sarmiento… vs Independi… 2-1
Jul 25 Sarmiento… vs Lanús 0-2
Jul 20 Sarmiento… vs Douglas H… 0-1
Jul 19 Sarmiento… vs Godoy Cruz 0-0
Jul 13 Sarmiento… vs Independi… 2-2
Jul 13 Sarmiento… vs Sol de Am… 1-1
Jul 06 Sarmiento… vs Atletico … 1-0
Atlético Tucumán Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 Atlético … vs Newell’s … 2-3
Aug 09 Atlético … vs Rosario C… 0-0
Jul 28 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 1-0
Jul 24 Atlético … vs Boca Juni… 1-2
Jul 19 Atlético … vs Central C… 1-1
Jul 13 Atlético … vs San Martí… 2-1
May 04 Atlético … vs Lanús 1-0
May 01 Atlético … vs Independi… 2-0
Apr 28 Atlético … vs Godoy Cruz 1-0
Apr 12 Atlético … vs San Loren… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 14, 2025 Atlético Tucumán 5 - 0 Sarmiento de Junín Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sarmiento de Junín to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sarmiento de Junín Power 0
Atlético Tucumán Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

29

Sarmiento de Junín Position

-6

Position Gap

23

Atlético Tucumán Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.