Liga Profesional Argentina · Feb 12, 2025 20:45

Newell’s Old Boys
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT

Defensa y Justicia
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (19%) 0-0 (18%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-2 (10%) 1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Newell’s Old B… Form LWLLW
STABLE
Defensa y Just… Form DWWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.525%
BTTS32%
Under 2.575%
Newell’s Ol… Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Defensa y J… Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Newell’s Old B…
vs
1.06
Defensa y Just…
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum46%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#25
Newell’s Ol…
-11
Gap
#14
Defensa y J…
WR 0% 83 pts WR 50% 101 pts
Newell’s Old B… 8.0%
Feb 07 Newell’… v Central… 2-0
Feb 02 Newell’… v Aldosivi 1-0
Jan 27 Newell’… v Banfield 3-0
Jan 24 Newell’… v Indepen… 0-1
Dec 15 Newell’… v Tallere… 1-3
Dec 09 Newell’… v Boca Ju… 0-1
Dec 03 Newell’… v Atlétic… 0-0
Nov 26 Newell’… v Indepen… 2-1
Aug 21 Newell’… v Central… 0-0
Aug 17 Newell’… v Racing … 0-1
Defensa y Just… 12.0%
Feb 09 Defensa… v Deporti… 1-1
Feb 03 Defensa… v Central… 2-1
Jan 30 Defensa… v Aldosivi 0-5
Jan 24 Defensa… v Banfield 0-1
Dec 15 Defensa… v Unión S… 0-0
Dec 06 Defensa… v Sarmien… 1-1
Dec 01 Defensa… v Godoy C… 2-1
Nov 18 Defensa… v Deporti… 1-1
Sep 28 Defensa… v Estudia… 1-0
Sep 17 Defensa… v Indepen… 1-0
Head-to-Head (7)
May 25, 2024 Newell’s Old … 1-0 Defensa y Jus…
Apr 17, 2024 Defensa y Jus… 1-0 Newell’s Old …
Nov 28, 2023 Newell’s Old … 3-0 Defensa y Jus…
Feb 11, 2023 Defensa y Jus… 1-0 Newell’s Old …
Jul 25, 2022 Newell’s Old … 1-2 Defensa y Jus…
Feb 11, 2022 Newell’s Old … 1-0 Defensa y Jus…
Aug 25, 2021 Defensa y Jus… 2-0 Newell’s Old …
Key Factors
Newell’s Old Boys struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.