Liga Profesional Argentina · Feb 12, 2025 20:45

Newell’s Old Boys
PWR 35

Defensa y Justicia
PWR 35

Newell’s Old Boys
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT

Defensa y Justicia
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (19%)
0-0 (18%)
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (12%)
0-2 (10%)
1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Newell’s Old B… Form
LWLLW
STABLE
Defensa y Just… Form
DWWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.525%
BTTS32%
Under 2.575%
Newell’s Ol… Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Defensa y J… Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Newell’s Old B…vs
1.06
Defensa y Just…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum46%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#25
Newell’s Ol…-11
Gap#14
Defensa y J…
WR 0% 83 pts
WR 50% 101 pts
Newell’s Old B…
8.0%
| Feb 07 | Newell’… v Central… | 2-0 |
| Feb 02 | Newell’… v Aldosivi | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | Newell’… v Banfield | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Newell’… v Indepen… | 0-1 |
| Dec 15 | Newell’… v Tallere… | 1-3 |
| Dec 09 | Newell’… v Boca Ju… | 0-1 |
| Dec 03 | Newell’… v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Nov 26 | Newell’… v Indepen… | 2-1 |
| Aug 21 | Newell’… v Central… | 0-0 |
| Aug 17 | Newell’… v Racing … | 0-1 |
Defensa y Just…
12.0%
| Feb 09 | Defensa… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | Defensa… v Central… | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Defensa… v Aldosivi | 0-5 |
| Jan 24 | Defensa… v Banfield | 0-1 |
| Dec 15 | Defensa… v Unión S… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Defensa… v Sarmien… | 1-1 |
| Dec 01 | Defensa… v Godoy C… | 2-1 |
| Nov 18 | Defensa… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | Defensa… v Estudia… | 1-0 |
| Sep 17 | Defensa… v Indepen… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| May 25, 2024 | Newell’s Old … | 1-0 | Defensa y Jus… |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Defensa y Jus… | 1-0 | Newell’s Old … |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Newell’s Old … | 3-0 | Defensa y Jus… |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Defensa y Jus… | 1-0 | Newell’s Old … |
| Jul 25, 2022 | Newell’s Old … | 1-2 | Defensa y Jus… |
| Feb 11, 2022 | Newell’s Old … | 1-0 | Defensa y Jus… |
| Aug 25, 2021 | Defensa y Jus… | 2-0 | Newell’s Old … |
Key Factors
Newell’s Old Boys struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.