Primeira Liga · Aug 31, 2025 14:30

Tondela
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Estoril
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Tondela Form LLLWW
DOWN
Estoril Form LDLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS63%
Under 2.538%
Tondela Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Estoril Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Tondela
vs
1.32
Estoril
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings32%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Tondela
-9
Gap
#8
Estoril
WR 10% 13 pts WR 30% 29 pts
Tondela 8.0%
Aug 23 Tondela v Benfica 3-0
Aug 16 Tondela v Famalic… 0-1
Aug 10 Tondela v SC Braga 3-0
Jul 24 Tondela v Nacional 1-2
May 16 Tondela v União d… 0-2
May 11 Tondela v Alverca 1-2
May 04 Tondela v Chaves 2-1
Apr 27 Tondela v Portimo… 2-2
Apr 20 Tondela v Vizela 0-1
May 19 Tondela v AVS 0-1
Estoril 8.0%
Aug 16 Estoril v Guimara… 3-2
Aug 11 Estoril v Estrela… 1-1
Jul 19 Estoril v Alverca 1-2
May 17 Estoril v Estrela… 4-0
May 11 Estoril v Moreire… 2-2
May 11 Estoril v Valadar… 6-2
May 03 Estoril v Benfica 1-2
Apr 29 Estoril v Casa Pi… 1-3
Apr 19 Estoril v SC Braga 0-2
Apr 12 Estoril v Famalic… 3-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Nov 19, 2022 Tondela 0-0 Estoril
Feb 12, 2022 Estoril 1-0 Tondela
Dec 21, 2021 Tondela 3-1 Estoril
Sep 13, 2021 Tondela 1-2 Estoril
Key Factors
Tondela struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.