Primeira Liga · Aug 31, 2025 14:30

Tondela
PWR 35

Estoril
PWR 35

Tondela
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Estoril
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (7%)
2-0 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Tondela Form
LLLWW
DOWN
Estoril Form
LDLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS63%
Under 2.538%
Tondela Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Estoril Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Tondelavs
1.32
EstorilDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings32%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Tondela-9
Gap#8
Estoril
WR 10% 13 pts
WR 30% 29 pts
Tondela
8.0%
| Aug 23 | Tondela v Benfica | 3-0 |
| Aug 16 | Tondela v Famalic… | 0-1 |
| Aug 10 | Tondela v SC Braga | 3-0 |
| Jul 24 | Tondela v Nacional | 1-2 |
| May 16 | Tondela v União d… | 0-2 |
| May 11 | Tondela v Alverca | 1-2 |
| May 04 | Tondela v Chaves | 2-1 |
| Apr 27 | Tondela v Portimo… | 2-2 |
| Apr 20 | Tondela v Vizela | 0-1 |
| May 19 | Tondela v AVS | 0-1 |
Estoril
8.0%
| Aug 16 | Estoril v Guimara… | 3-2 |
| Aug 11 | Estoril v Estrela… | 1-1 |
| Jul 19 | Estoril v Alverca | 1-2 |
| May 17 | Estoril v Estrela… | 4-0 |
| May 11 | Estoril v Moreire… | 2-2 |
| May 11 | Estoril v Valadar… | 6-2 |
| May 03 | Estoril v Benfica | 1-2 |
| Apr 29 | Estoril v Casa Pi… | 1-3 |
| Apr 19 | Estoril v SC Braga | 0-2 |
| Apr 12 | Estoril v Famalic… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 19, 2022 | Tondela | 0-0 | Estoril |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Estoril | 1-0 | Tondela |
| Dec 21, 2021 | Tondela | 3-1 | Estoril |
| Sep 13, 2021 | Tondela | 1-2 | Estoril |
Key Factors
Tondela struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.