Primeira Liga · Aug 30, 2025 19:30
Sporting CP
PWR 35
FC Porto
PWR 35
Sporting CP
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
FC Porto
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Sporting CP to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 10.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Sporting CP Form
WWWLL
UP
FC Porto Form
LWDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS50%
Under 2.542%
Sporting CP Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
FC Porto Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Sporting CPvs
0.80
FC PortoDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Sporting CP-1
Gap#1
FC Porto
WR 80% 51 pts
WR 91% 55 pts
Sporting CP
12.0%
| Aug 23 | Sportin… v Nacional | 1-4 |
| Aug 17 | Sportin… v Arouca | 6-0 |
| Aug 08 | Sportin… v Casa Pi… | 0-2 |
| Jul 31 | Sportin… v Benfica | 0-1 |
| May 25 | Sportin… v Benfica | 1-3 |
| May 17 | Sportin… v Guimara… | 2-0 |
| May 10 | Sportin… v Benfica | 1-1 |
| May 04 | Sportin… v GIL Vic… | 2-1 |
| Apr 27 | Sportin… v Boavista | 0-5 |
| Apr 22 | Sportin… v Rio Ave… | 1-2 |
FC Porto
12.0%
| Aug 27 | FC Porto v Makhach… | 1-3 |
| Aug 24 | FC Porto v Casa Pi… | 4-0 |
| Aug 23 | FC Porto v Chertan… | 1-1 |
| Aug 23 | FC Porto v Lokomot… | 3-3 |
| Aug 18 | FC Porto v GIL Vic… | 0-2 |
| Aug 17 | FC Porto v Rubin | 1-0 |
| Aug 15 | FC Porto v Lokomot… | 1-2 |
| Aug 14 | FC Porto v Nizhny … | 1-0 |
| Aug 11 | FC Porto v Guimara… | 3-0 |
| Aug 10 | FC Porto v Nizhny … | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Feb 07, 2025 | FC Porto | 1-1 | Sporting CP |
| Jan 07, 2025 | Sporting CP | 1-0 | FC Porto |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Sporting CP | 2-0 | FC Porto |
| Aug 03, 2024 | Sporting CP | 3-4 | FC Porto |
| May 26, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-1 | Sporting CP |
| Apr 28, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-2 | Sporting CP |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Sporting CP | 2-0 | FC Porto |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Sporting CP | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Sporting CP | 0-2 | FC Porto |
Key Factors
Sporting CP in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.