Predictions Match Details
Primeira Liga · Aug 30, 2025 14:30

Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT

Nacional
PWR 35
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (21%) 1-0 (17%) 0-1 (16%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (7%) 0-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)āš ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityšŸ’” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Casa Pia AC Form LWLWL
STABLE
Nacional Form LDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.521%
BTTS30%
Under 2.579%
Casa Pia AC Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Nacional Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Casa Pia AC
vs
0.77
Nacional
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
Casa Pia AC
-3
Gap
#12
Nacional
WR 10% 18 pts WR 18% 20 pts
Casa Pia AC 8.0%
Aug 24 Casa Piā€¦ v FC Porto 4-0
Aug 15 Casa Piā€¦ v AVS 0-2
Aug 08 Casa Piā€¦ v Sportinā€¦ 0-2
Aug 02 Casa Piā€¦ v Alverca 2-3
May 16 Casa Piā€¦ v Famalicā€¦ 2-1
May 10 Casa Piā€¦ v SC Braga 2-1
May 04 Casa Piā€¦ v Arouca 0-0
Apr 29 Casa Piā€¦ v Estoril 1-3
Apr 19 Casa Piā€¦ v AVS 1-1
Apr 12 Casa Piā€¦ v FC Porto 0-1
Nacional 2.0%
Aug 23 Nacional v Sportinā€¦ 1-4
Aug 17 Nacional v Rio Aveā€¦ 1-1
Aug 09 Nacional v GIL Vicā€¦ 0-2
Jul 24 Nacional v Tondela 1-2
May 17 Nacional v FC Porto 3-0
May 10 Nacional v Rio Aveā€¦ 3-3
May 03 Nacional v Guimaraā€¦ 1-2
Apr 27 Nacional v Moreireā€¦ 1-1
Apr 19 Nacional v GIL Vicā€¦ 0-3
Apr 12 Nacional v Boavista 0-1
Head-to-Head (9)
Mar 16, 2025 Nacional 3-1 Casa Pia AC
Oct 25, 2024 Casa Pia AC 1-0 Nacional
Oct 25, 2024 Casa Pia AC 1-0 Nacional
Nov 25, 2023 Nacional 0-0 Casa Pia AC
Sep 28, 2023 Casa Pia AC 2-1 Nacional
Feb 09, 2023 Casa Pia AC 2-5 Nacional
Feb 19, 2022 Casa Pia AC 1-0 Nacional
Sep 19, 2021 Nacional 1-2 Casa Pia AC
Nov 25, 2020 Casa Pia AC 2-3 Nacional
Key Factors
Casa Pia AC struggling (3L in last 5)
Nacional struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.