Primeira Liga · Aug 24, 2025 17:00
FC Porto
PWR 35
Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
FC Porto
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT
Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
FC Porto Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
76%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (12%)
0-1 (11%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 76%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdā Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 76% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Porto Form
DDWLW
STABLE
Casa Pia AC Form
WLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.535%
BTTS42%
Under 2.565%
FC Porto Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Casa Pia AC Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
FC Portovs
0.93
Casa Pia ACDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings91%
Market50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
FC Porto+14
Gap#15
Casa Pia AC
WR 89% 55 pts
WR 30% 18 pts
FC Porto
12.0%
| Aug 23 | FC Porto v Chertanā¦ | 1-1 |
| Aug 23 | FC Porto v Lokomotā¦ | 3-3 |
| Aug 18 | FC Porto v GIL Vicā¦ | 0-2 |
| Aug 17 | FC Porto v Rubin | 1-0 |
| Aug 15 | FC Porto v Lokomotā¦ | 1-2 |
| Aug 14 | FC Porto v Nizhny ā¦ | 1-0 |
| Aug 11 | FC Porto v Guimaraā¦ | 3-0 |
| Aug 10 | FC Porto v Nizhny ā¦ | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | FC Porto v Zvezda ā¦ | 2-2 |
| Aug 02 | FC Porto v Krylya ā¦ | 1-4 |
Casa Pia AC
12.0%
| Aug 15 | Casa Piā¦ v AVS | 0-2 |
| Aug 08 | Casa Piā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 0-2 |
| Aug 02 | Casa Piā¦ v Alverca | 2-3 |
| May 16 | Casa Piā¦ v Famalicā¦ | 2-1 |
| May 10 | Casa Piā¦ v SC Braga | 2-1 |
| May 04 | Casa Piā¦ v Arouca | 0-0 |
| Apr 29 | Casa Piā¦ v Estoril | 1-3 |
| Apr 19 | Casa Piā¦ v AVS | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | Casa Piā¦ v FC Porto | 0-1 |
| Apr 07 | Casa Piā¦ v Farense | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Apr 12, 2025 | Casa Pia AC | 0-1 | FC Porto |
| Dec 02, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-0 | Casa Pia AC |
| Dec 02, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-0 | Casa Pia AC |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Casa Pia AC | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Casa Pia AC | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Dec 09, 2023 | FC Porto | 3-1 | Casa Pia AC |
| Dec 09, 2023 | FC Porto | 3-1 | Casa Pia AC |
| May 14, 2023 | FC Porto | 2-1 | Casa Pia AC |
| Jan 07, 2023 | Casa Pia AC | 0-0 | FC Porto |
Key Factors
Casa Pia AC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.