Serie A · Oct 04, 2025 18:45
Atalanta
PWR 40
Como
PWR 45
Atalanta
PWR 40
1 - 1
FT
Como
PWR 45
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%)
3-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
2-0 (4%)
3-2 (4%)
2-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense74
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Attack48
Defense79
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.7
Atalanta Form
WDLWD
STABLE
Como Form
DWWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS68%
Under 2.538%
Atalanta Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Como Goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Atalantavs
1.15
ComoDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Atalanta-1
Gap#6
Como
WR 50% 36 pts
WR 46% 41 pts
Atalanta
12.0%
| Sep 30 | Atalanta v Club Br… | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Atalanta v Juventus | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | Atalanta v New Eng… | 2-0 |
| Sep 21 | Atalanta v Torino | 0-3 |
| Sep 20 | Atalanta v San Die… | 1-1 |
| Sep 17 | Atalanta v Paris S… | 4-0 |
| Sep 14 | Atalanta v Lecce | 4-1 |
| Sep 13 | Atalanta v Columbu… | 4-5 |
| Sep 09 | Atalanta v Latvia | 1-0 |
| Sep 04 | Atalanta v Gibralt… | 0-1 |
Como
12.0%
| Sep 27 | Como v Cremone… | 1-1 |
| Sep 24 | Como v Sassuolo | 3-0 |
| Sep 21 | Como v Fiorent… | 1-2 |
| Sep 15 | Como v Genoa | 1-1 |
| Sep 04 | Como v Mali | 3-0 |
| Aug 30 | Como v Bologna | 1-0 |
| Aug 24 | Como v Lazio | 2-0 |
| Aug 16 | Como v Sudtirol | 3-1 |
| Aug 10 | Como v FC Barc… | 5-0 |
| Aug 06 | Como v Real Be… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jan 25, 2025 | Como | 1-2 | Atalanta |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Atalanta | 2-3 | Como |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Atalanta | 2-3 | Como |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Atalanta | 4-0 | Como |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.