Ligue 1 · Oct 19, 2025 15:15
Lorient
PWR 33
Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
Lorient
PWR 33
3 - 3
FT
Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
3-0 (4%)
2-2 (3%)
2-0 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 3-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (34.6%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense54
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Attack39
Defense51
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
Lorient Form
LWDLL
STABLE
Stade Brestois… Form
DWWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS77%
Under 2.536%
Lorient Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Stade Brest… Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Lorientvs
1.53
Stade Brestois…Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings64%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Lorient+3
Gap#12
Stade Brest…
WR 50% 28 pts
WR 20% 26 pts
Lorient
6.0%
| Oct 03 | Lorient v Paris FC | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | Lorient v Monaco | 3-1 |
| Sep 21 | Lorient v LE Havr… | 1-1 |
| Sep 12 | Lorient v Marseil… | 4-0 |
| Aug 30 | Lorient v Lille | 1-7 |
| Aug 24 | Lorient v Rennes … | 4-0 |
| Aug 17 | Lorient v Auxerre | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Lorient v Angers | 1-0 |
| May 10 | Lorient v Martigu… | 5-1 |
| May 10 | Lorient v Martigu… | 5-1 |
Stade Brestois…
10.0%
| Oct 04 | Stade B… v Nantes | 0-0 |
| Sep 28 | Stade B… v Angers | 0-2 |
| Sep 20 | Stade B… v Nice | 4-1 |
| Sep 14 | Stade B… v Paris FC | 1-2 |
| Aug 29 | Stade B… v Lens | 3-1 |
| Aug 24 | Stade B… v Toulouse | 2-0 |
| Aug 17 | Stade B… v Lille | 3-3 |
| Aug 09 | Stade B… v Sassuolo | 1-1 |
| Jul 18 | Stade B… v Rennes … | 2-3 |
| May 17 | Stade B… v Nice | 6-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Jul 20, 2024 | Lorient | 1-1 | Stade Brestoi… |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Lorient | 0-1 | Stade Brestoi… |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Stade Brestoi… | 4-0 | Lorient |
| May 07, 2023 | Lorient | 2-1 | Stade Brestoi… |
| Oct 09, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-2 | Lorient |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-0 | Lorient |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-0 | Lorient |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 0-1 | Lorient |
Key Factors
Lorient struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.