Ligue 1 · Oct 17, 2025 18:45

Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49

Strasbourg
PWR 39

Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
3 - 3
FT

Strasbourg
PWR 39
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
Paris Saint Germain Win
Prediction
5-2
Score
73%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
3-1 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-3
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy68%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (4 rules, 73% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack50
Defense63
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.3
Paris Saint Ge… Form
DWWLW
STABLE
Strasbourg Form
WWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS41%
Under 2.537%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Strasbourg Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.43
Paris Saint Ge…vs
0.56
StrasbourgDecision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings70%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Paris Saint…+5
Gap#7
Strasbourg
WR 89% 48 pts
WR 30% 30 pts
Paris Saint Ge…
14.0%
| Oct 05 | Paris S… v Lille | 1-1 |
| Oct 01 | Paris S… v FC Barc… | 1-2 |
| Sep 27 | Paris S… v Auxerre | 2-0 |
| Sep 22 | Paris S… v Marseil… | 1-0 |
| Sep 17 | Paris S… v Atalanta | 4-0 |
| Sep 14 | Paris S… v Lens | 2-0 |
| Aug 30 | Paris S… v Toulouse | 3-6 |
| Aug 22 | Paris S… v Angers | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Paris S… v Nantes | 0-1 |
| Aug 13 | Paris S… v Tottenh… | 2-2 |
Strasbourg
16.0%
| Oct 05 | Strasbo… v Angers | 5-0 |
| Oct 02 | Strasbo… v Slovan … | 1-2 |
| Sep 26 | Strasbo… v Marseil… | 1-2 |
| Sep 21 | Strasbo… v Paris FC | 2-3 |
| Sep 14 | Strasbo… v LE Havr… | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Strasbo… v Monaco | 3-2 |
| Aug 28 | Strasbo… v Brondby | 2-3 |
| Aug 24 | Strasbo… v Nantes | 1-0 |
| Aug 21 | Strasbo… v Brondby | 0-0 |
| Aug 17 | Strasbo… v Metz | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| May 03, 2025 | Strasbourg | 2-1 | Paris Saint G… |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Paris Saint G… | 4-2 | Strasbourg |
| Feb 02, 2024 | Strasbourg | 1-2 | Paris Saint G… |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Paris Saint G… | 3-0 | Strasbourg |
| May 27, 2023 | Strasbourg | 1-1 | Paris Saint G… |
| Dec 28, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 2-1 | Strasbourg |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Strasbourg | 3-3 | Paris Saint G… |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Paris Saint G… | 4-2 | Strasbourg |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Strasbourg | 1-4 | Paris Saint G… |
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5)
Strasbourg in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.