Ligue 1 · Oct 17, 2025 18:45

Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
3 - 3
FT

Strasbourg
PWR 39
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
Paris Saint Germain Win
Prediction
5-2
Score
73%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-3
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy68%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (4 rules, 73% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack50
Defense63
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.3
Paris Saint Ge… Form DWWLW
STABLE
Strasbourg Form WWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS41%
Under 2.537%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Strasbourg Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.43
Paris Saint Ge…
vs
0.56
Strasbourg
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings70%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Paris Saint…
+5
Gap
#7
Strasbourg
WR 89% 48 pts WR 30% 30 pts
Paris Saint Ge… 14.0%
Oct 05 Paris S… v Lille 1-1
Oct 01 Paris S… v FC Barc… 1-2
Sep 27 Paris S… v Auxerre 2-0
Sep 22 Paris S… v Marseil… 1-0
Sep 17 Paris S… v Atalanta 4-0
Sep 14 Paris S… v Lens 2-0
Aug 30 Paris S… v Toulouse 3-6
Aug 22 Paris S… v Angers 1-0
Aug 17 Paris S… v Nantes 0-1
Aug 13 Paris S… v Tottenh… 2-2
Strasbourg 16.0%
Oct 05 Strasbo… v Angers 5-0
Oct 02 Strasbo… v Slovan … 1-2
Sep 26 Strasbo… v Marseil… 1-2
Sep 21 Strasbo… v Paris FC 2-3
Sep 14 Strasbo… v LE Havr… 1-0
Aug 31 Strasbo… v Monaco 3-2
Aug 28 Strasbo… v Brondby 2-3
Aug 24 Strasbo… v Nantes 1-0
Aug 21 Strasbo… v Brondby 0-0
Aug 17 Strasbo… v Metz 0-1
Head-to-Head (9)
May 03, 2025 Strasbourg 2-1 Paris Saint G…
Oct 19, 2024 Paris Saint G… 4-2 Strasbourg
Feb 02, 2024 Strasbourg 1-2 Paris Saint G…
Oct 21, 2023 Paris Saint G… 3-0 Strasbourg
May 27, 2023 Strasbourg 1-1 Paris Saint G…
Dec 28, 2022 Paris Saint G… 2-1 Strasbourg
Apr 29, 2022 Strasbourg 3-3 Paris Saint G…
Aug 14, 2021 Paris Saint G… 4-2 Strasbourg
Apr 10, 2021 Strasbourg 1-4 Paris Saint G…
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5)
Strasbourg in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.