AI Match Insights
Ligue 1 Oct 05, 2025
Monaco
HomeVS
15:15
Nice
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Monaco Win
Draw
Nice Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
65%
Market
50%
Combined: 63%
Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.50 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Monaco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Nice Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
3-2 (3%)
1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
Monaco Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 01 | Monaco vs Mancheste… | 2-2 |
| Sep 27 | Monaco vs Lorient | 3-1 |
| Sep 21 | Monaco vs Metz | 5-2 |
| Sep 18 | Monaco vs Club Brug… | 4-1 |
| Sep 13 | Monaco vs Auxerre | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Monaco vs Strasbourg | 3-2 |
| Aug 24 | Monaco vs Lille | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Monaco vs LE Havre … | 3-1 |
| Aug 08 | Monaco vs Inter | 1-2 |
| May 17 | Monaco vs Lens | 4-0 |
Nice Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 02 | Nice vs Fenerbahce | 2-1 |
| Sep 28 | Nice vs Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Sep 24 | Nice vs AS Roma | 1-2 |
| Sep 20 | Nice vs Stade Bre… | 4-1 |
| Sep 13 | Nice vs Nantes | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Nice vs LE Havre … | 3-1 |
| Aug 23 | Nice vs Auxerre | 3-1 |
| Aug 16 | Nice vs Toulouse | 0-1 |
| Aug 12 | Nice vs Benfica | 2-0 |
| Aug 06 | Nice vs Benfica | 0-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Nice struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Monaco | 2 - 1 | Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Monaco | 2 - 1 | Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Nice | 2 - 1 | Monaco | Pro League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Nice | 2 - 1 | Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Nice | 2 - 3 | Monaco | Pro League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Nice | 2 - 3 | Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Monaco | 0 - 1 | Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Monaco | 0 - 3 | Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 04, 2022 | Nice | 0 - 1 | Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Monaco | 1 - 0 | Nice | Ligue 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Monaco Power
34
Nice Power
29
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
10
Monaco Position+3
Position Gap13
Nice Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.