AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Oct 03, 2025

Paris FC

Home
VS
18:45

Lorient

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Paris FC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Lorient Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.74 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.4
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paris FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Lorient Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Paris FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Paris FC vs Lokomotiv… 0-3
Sep 28 Paris FC vs Nice 1-1
Sep 27 Paris FC vs Sioni Bol… 1-0
Sep 23 Paris FC vs Dila 1-2
Sep 21 Paris FC vs Strasbourg 2-3
Sep 19 Paris FC vs Rustavi 2-0
Sep 15 Paris FC vs Samtredia 1-1
Sep 14 Paris FC vs Stade Bre… 1-2
Sep 11 Paris FC vs Merani Ma… 1-1
Aug 31 Paris FC vs Metz 3-2
Lorient Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Lorient vs Monaco 3-1
Sep 21 Lorient vs LE Havre … 1-1
Sep 12 Lorient vs Marseille 4-0
Aug 30 Lorient vs Lille 1-7
Aug 24 Lorient vs Rennes FC 4-0
Aug 17 Lorient vs Auxerre 1-0
Aug 09 Lorient vs Angers 1-0
May 10 Lorient vs Martigues 5-1
May 10 Lorient vs Martigues 5-1
May 02 Lorient vs Ajaccio 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 08, 2025 Paris FC 3 - 2 Lorient Ligue 2
Dec 14, 2024 Lorient 2 - 0 Paris FC Pro League
Dec 14, 2024 Lorient 2 - 0 Paris FC Ligue 2
Apr 24, 2024 Lorient 1 - 4 Paris FC Pro League
Feb 09, 2021 Lorient 2 - 1 Paris FC Coupe de France
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paris FC Power 31
Lorient Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Paris FC Position

-5

Position Gap

9

Lorient Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.