First Division · Oct 05, 2025 16:00
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
Pafos FC
PWR 35
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
2 - 4
FT
Pafos FC
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: AEK Larnaca to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (18%)
0-0 (16%)
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (11%)
0-2 (10%)
1-2 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AEK Larnaca Form
WWWLD
UP
Pafos FC Form
LWWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS34%
Under 2.573%
AEK Larnaca Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Pafos FC Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
AEK Larnacavs
1.11
Pafos FCDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum46%
Standings58%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
AEK Larnaca+1
Gap#3
Pafos FC
WR 70% 43 pts
WR 50% 40 pts
AEK Larnaca
14.0%
| Oct 02 | AEK Lar… v AZ Alkm… | 4-0 |
| Sep 27 | AEK Lar… v Digenis… | 0-4 |
| Sep 22 | AEK Lar… v Aris | 3-2 |
| Sep 17 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 1-0 |
| Sep 13 | AEK Lar… v Anortho… | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | AEK Lar… v AEL | 2-0 |
| Aug 27 | AEK Lar… v Brann | 0-4 |
| Aug 21 | AEK Lar… v Brann | 2-1 |
| Aug 14 | AEK Lar… v Legia W… | 2-1 |
| Aug 07 | AEK Lar… v Legia W… | 4-1 |
Pafos FC
14.0%
| Sep 30 | Pafos FC v Bayern … | 1-5 |
| Sep 27 | Pafos FC v Olympia… | 2-1 |
| Sep 24 | Pafos FC v Enosis | 3-0 |
| Sep 21 | Pafos FC v Omonia … | 0-2 |
| Sep 17 | Pafos FC v Olympia… | 0-0 |
| Sep 13 | Pafos FC v Apollon… | 0-1 |
| Aug 31 | Pafos FC v Apoel N… | 0-1 |
| Aug 26 | Pafos FC v FK Crve… | 1-1 |
| Aug 19 | Pafos FC v FK Crve… | 1-2 |
| Aug 12 | Pafos FC v Dynamo … | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| May 24, 2025 | Pafos FC | 0-0 | AEK Larnaca |
| May 18, 2025 | Pafos FC | 2-0 | AEK Larnaca |
| Apr 13, 2025 | AEK Larnaca | 2-2 | Pafos FC |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Pafos FC | 0-1 | AEK Larnaca |
| Sep 01, 2024 | AEK Larnaca | 0-2 | Pafos FC |
| Apr 06, 2024 | AEK Larnaca | 3-0 | Pafos FC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Pafos FC | 0-1 | AEK Larnaca |
| Jan 22, 2024 | AEK Larnaca | 1-0 | Pafos FC |
Key Factors
AEK Larnaca in strong form (3W in last 5)
Pafos FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.