AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Oct 15, 2025

Homeboyz

Home
VS
11:00

Bidco United

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Homeboyz Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Bidco United Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 1.97 - 0.89
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.9 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Homeboyz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Bidco United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Homeboyz Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 11 Homeboyz vs Nairobi U… 0-2
Oct 03 Homeboyz vs Sofapaka 0-1
Sep 27 Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar 0-0
May 18 Homeboyz vs Kariobang… 0-2
May 14 Homeboyz vs Police 2-1
May 10 Homeboyz vs Mathare U… 0-1
May 05 Homeboyz vs Posta Ran… 2-0
May 01 Homeboyz vs Nairobi U… 2-0
Apr 19 Homeboyz vs Bandari 0-1
Apr 13 Homeboyz vs Shabana 1-0
Bidco United Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 06 Bidco Uni… vs Nairobi U… 1-0
Sep 21 Bidco Uni… vs Gor Mahia 0-1
Jun 22 Bidco Uni… vs Sofapaka 1-2
May 19 Bidco Uni… vs KCB 1-0
May 14 Bidco Uni… vs Shabana 2-1
Apr 26 Bidco Uni… vs AFC Leopa… 3-1
Apr 20 Bidco Uni… vs Mathare U… 2-0
Apr 06 Bidco Uni… vs Murang'a … 1-1
Mar 29 Bidco Uni… vs Tusker 0-1
Feb 20 Bidco Uni… vs Gor Mahia 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Homeboyz in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Bidco United in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Homeboyz to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Homeboyz Power 0
Bidco United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Homeboyz Position

+11

Position Gap

17

Bidco United Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.