AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Apr 05, 2025

Real Madrid

Home
VS
15:00

Valencia

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Real Madrid Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Valencia Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 91%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.89 - 2.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 2.3 Position gap: 14 places
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Valencia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 2-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Real Madrid Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 01 Real Madr… vs Real Soci… 4-4
Mar 29 Real Madr… vs Espanyol 1-1
Mar 29 Real Madr… vs Levante 3-2
Mar 16 Real Madr… vs FC Barcel… 2-4
Mar 15 Real Madr… vs Villarreal 1-2
Mar 12 Real Madr… vs Atlético … 1-0
Mar 09 Real Madr… vs Getafe 2-1
Mar 09 Real Madr… vs Valencia 2-1
Mar 09 Real Madr… vs Rayo Vall… 2-1
Mar 04 Real Madr… vs Atlético … 2-1
Valencia Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 04 Valencia vs Espanyol 0-4
Mar 30 Valencia vs Mallorca 1-0
Mar 29 Valencia vs Alavés 0-2
Mar 16 Valencia vs Real Soci… 2-2
Mar 15 Valencia vs Girona 1-1
Mar 09 Valencia vs Real Madr… 2-1
Mar 08 Valencia vs Valladolid 2-1
Mar 02 Valencia vs Osasuna 3-3
Mar 01 Valencia vs Sevilla FC 1-1
Feb 22 Valencia vs Atlético … 0-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 09, 2025 Real Madrid 2 - 1 Valencia La Liga
Feb 22, 2025 Valencia 0 - 3 Real Madrid La Liga
Jan 03, 2025 Valencia 1 - 2 Real Madrid La Liga
Jan 03, 2025 Valencia 1 - 2 Real Madrid Pro League
Dec 14, 2024 Valencia 3 - 3 Real Madrid Pro League
Sep 22, 2024 Valencia 1 - 1 Real Madrid Pro League
Sep 15, 2024 Real Madrid 3 - 0 Valencia Pro League
Mar 02, 2024 Valencia 2 - 2 Real Madrid La Liga
Mar 02, 2024 Valencia 2 - 2 Real Madrid Pro League
Feb 18, 2024 Valencia 1 - 1 Real Madrid Pro League
Final Verdict

ELITE: Real Madrid to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Madrid Power 49
Valencia Power 29
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Real Madrid Position

+14

Position Gap

16

Valencia Position
Home Win Rate: 91%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.