La Liga · Apr 24, 2025 15:00
Real Madrid
PWR 49
Valencia
PWR 29
Real Madrid
PWR 49
3 - 0
FT
Valencia
PWR 29
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
Real Madrid Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
86%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 86%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy88%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKINGTABLE_EXTREMESDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed (6 independent rules, 86% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack64
Defense75
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G0.8
Attack31
Defense52
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.6
Real Madrid Form
WWWLL
UP
Valencia Form
DLDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS61%
Under 2.535%
Real Madrid Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Valencia Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Real Madridvs
1.09
ValenciaDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings93%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Real Madrid+15
Gap#17
Valencia
WR 91% 57 pts
WR 9% 23 pts
Real Madrid
12.0%
| Apr 23 | Real Ma… v Getafe | 0-1 |
| Apr 20 | Real Ma… v Athleti… | 1-0 |
| Apr 20 | Real Ma… v Ath Bil… | 1-0 |
| Apr 19 | Real Ma… v Las Pal… | 1-0 |
| Apr 16 | Real Ma… v Arsenal | 1-2 |
| Apr 14 | Real Ma… v Vallado… | 4-2 |
| Apr 13 | Real Ma… v Alavés | 0-1 |
| Apr 08 | Real Ma… v Arsenal | 3-0 |
| Apr 06 | Real Ma… v Sevilla… | 1-2 |
| Apr 05 | Real Ma… v Valencia | 1-2 |
Valencia
6.0%
| Apr 22 | Valencia v Espanyol | 1-1 |
| Apr 19 | Valencia v Granada | 2-1 |
| Apr 19 | Valencia v Valencia | 1-1 |
| Apr 13 | Valencia v Espanyo… | 1-1 |
| Apr 13 | Valencia v Ath Bil… | 3-1 |
| Apr 11 | Valencia v Sevilla… | 1-0 |
| Apr 05 | Valencia v Real Ma… | 1-2 |
| Apr 04 | Valencia v Espanyol | 0-4 |
| Mar 30 | Valencia v Mallorca | 1-0 |
| Mar 29 | Valencia v Alavés | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 05, 2025 | Real Madrid | 1-2 | Valencia |
| Mar 09, 2025 | Real Madrid | 2-1 | Valencia |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Valencia | 0-3 | Real Madrid |
| Jan 03, 2025 | Valencia | 1-2 | Real Madrid |
| Jan 03, 2025 | Valencia | 1-2 | Real Madrid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Valencia | 3-3 | Real Madrid |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Valencia | 1-1 | Real Madrid |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Real Madrid | 3-0 | Valencia |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Valencia | 2-2 | Real Madrid |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Valencia | 2-2 | Real Madrid |
Key Factors
Real Madrid in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.